Sydney's victory over Adelaide, coming as it did on the back of substantially fewer scoring shots, failed to impress MoSSBODS or MoSHBODS, both of which reacted by transferring Rating Points from the Swans to the Crows. Regardless of that, these two teams remain comfortably ahead of the remainder on both Systems.Read More
Seven favourites or equal-favourites won this week, which made for good tipping amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters, the only one bagging fewer than six being Home Sweet Home, and the all-Tipster average finishing at 6.2.
The two RSMP Tipsters bagged seven, which was enough to drag them into a share of the lead now with MoSSBODS_Marg on 121.5 from 189 (64%).Read More
Regular readers will know that many of the MoS forecasters use no player or bookmaker price information, which leaves them potentially exposed in weeks where teams' lists are materially different from their regular list or where motivation levels might not be normal levelsRead More
Adelaide and Sydney continue to enjoy a healthy rating lead over all of their rivals on both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS, though GWS are making most progress in bridging or, at least, steadying the gap.Read More
Expected victory margins are a little higher this week, though still at historically low levels. You really do have to keep reminding yourself just how extraordinarily even this season has been. (I should write an article about that ...)Read More
Adelaide and Sydney put some space between themselves and the other 16 teams over the weekend after convincing wins over other top 6 ranked teams. They are now ranked 1st and 2nd, in that order, on MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS.Read More
This week, the TAB over/under markets went up over about a 45 minute period, which makes last week's delays all the more strange.
What we have is consensus across all four forecasters that the Western Bulldogs will score over 100 points and be the round's high-scorer this week, and near-consensus - with MoSHBODS the lone dissenter - that Collingwood will be the only other team to register three figures.Read More
Sydney, by virtue of sinking more slowly than their nearest rivals, have retained top spot on MoSSBODS' Ratings this week, whilst Adelaide have employed the same tactic to snatch 2nd from Port Adelaide.Read More
Five favourites won this week and one drew (after spotting their opponents a 50 point lead - welcome to the 2017 AFL season). With relatively low levels of disagreement amongst the Head-to-Head Predictors, that made for a narrow range of scores (5.5 to 6.5 from 9), which left MoSSBODS_Marg two tips clear at the top of the Leaderboard and now on 102 from 162 (63%).Read More
The final overs/unders market - for the Gold Coast v Richmond game - was posted on the TAB late this afternoon and wound up being only a single point different from Centrebet's.
So, as we anticipated, no bet in that game.
For completeness' sake, here are the final comparative tables.
For commentary, see yesterday's post (and ignore the snark at the top).
For reasons that are apparent only to the TAB Bookmakers (and, I'll be honest, I'm guessing probably not even to the professional market-framers amongst them) we're still waiting for an Overs/Unders market to be made available for the Suns v Tigers game this week. There's no apparent threat of rain, there are markets in many of the other major bookmakers, and yet they're coy about their reasons for failing to frame a market.Read More
After a week where the bookmakers expected a slew of closely-fought contests, this week sees the average TAB handicap out to almost 23 points per game, which is the third-highest average for a round this season.Read More