2025 - Round 10 Results - But Few Cigars
/Another six of the early-week favourites got up this week, and this was the score registered by all but the RSMP twins (five each), Home Sweet Home (also five), MoSSBODS_Marg (three), and Consult The Ladder (two).
That left MoSHPlay still three tips clear of the field and now on 67.5 from 89 (76%).
The all-Tipster score came in at 4.9 from 9, which took the season-long all-Tipster performance to 59.5 from 89 (67%).
Margin prediction was, on average, over 20 points per game harder this week, but easiest for Bookie_9, whose mean average error (MAE) of 32.4 points per game was almost one quarter of a point per game better than next best, MoSHPlay_Marg’s 32.7 points per game. That allowed MoSHPlay_Marg to extend its lead over ENS_Linear to just over 17 points. MoSSBODS_Marg was again this week’s worst at 36.8 points per game, and it remains in last place.
The all-Predictor average was 33.8 points per game, which left the season-long average at 27.6 points per game.
The round-by-round history of Margin Predictor rankings appears below.
Log probability scores were all negativethis week. Narrowly best was Bookie_OE, although the two other bookie-based algorithms and MoSHPlay_Prob were not at all far behind.
MoSSBODS_Prob was comfortably worst, which dropped it to 3rd on the Leaderboard, behind MoSHPlay_Prob and MoSHBODS_Prob..
WAGERING
All three Funds lost money this week, meaning that Investors lost money in consecutive rounds for the first time this season.
Overall, the Combined Portfolio finished down by just over 1c for the week, leaving it up by just under 21c on the season, that from a 22% ROI on a 0.96 turn.
