2025 - Round 11 Results - The MoS Models Retain the Full Support of the Board

Yet another six of the early-week favourites got up this week, and this was the score registered by all but ENS_Linear and Consult The Ladder (seven each), and Home Sweet Home and MoSSBODS_Marg (five each).

That left MoSHPlay still three tips clear of the field and now on 73.5 from 98 (75%).

The all-Tipster score came in at 6 from 9, which took the season-long all-Tipster performance to 65.5 from 98 (67%).

Margin prediction was, on average, almost 10 points per game easier this week, and easiest for ENS_Linear, whose mean average error (MAE) of 21 points per game was almost half a point per game better than next best, Bookie_3’s 21.5 points per game. That nudged ENS_Linear ahead of MoSHPlay_Marg at the top of the Leaderboard where it now enjoys about a 3 goal lead.

MoSSBODS_Marg was again this week’s worst at 26.6 points per game, and it remains in last place.

The all-Predictor average was 23.9 points per game, which left the season-long average at 27.3 points per game.

The round-by-round history of Margin Predictor rankings appears below.

Log probability scores were all positive this week, but better for the bookie-based models than the MoS-based models.

MoSHPlay_Prob was best amongst the MoS trio, and it remains atop the Leaderboard, with MoSHBODS_Prob retaining secon ahead of MoSSBODS_Prob.

WAGERING

Only the Overs/Unders Funds made money this week, meaning that Investors lost money in a third straight round and by the largest magnitude for any round this season.

Overall, the Combined Portfolio finished down by 4.5c for the week, leaving it up by just over 16c on the season, that from a 16% ROI on a 1.03 turn.