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May 07, 2017

2017 - Round 7 Results - Consult The Ladder Bags a Bagel

May 07, 2017/ Tony Corke

What an extraordinary round that was, with every one of the nine victors a team that started the week lower on the competition ladder than did the team they beat.

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May 07, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 04, 2017

2017 - Round 7 : Overs/Unders Update

May 04, 2017/ Tony Corke

The likelihood of rain at Bellerive on Saturday seems to have led to a relatively large difference in the Totals posted by the TAB and Centrebet for the Roos v Adelaide game being played there then.

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May 04, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 02, 2017

2017 - Round 7 : Not Much Debate

May 02, 2017/ Tony Corke

The usual suspects aside, there's not much disagreement amongst the forecaster families this week, with overall disagreement levels registering new or equal lows for both the Head-to-Head Tipsters and the Margin Predictors.

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May 02, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 4 Comments
May 01, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 6

May 01, 2017/ Tony Corke

MoSSBODS now rates Port Adelaide a fractionally better side than GWS after a weekend in which the Giants conceded 28 scoring shots to the Dogs, and Port racked up 40 against the Lions. MoSHBODS also rates the two teams almost equally but puts the Giants narrowly ahead.

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May 01, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 30, 2017

2017 - Round 6 Results - MoSSBODS' Turn

April 30, 2017/ Tony Corke

Only five of the round's favourites prevailed this weekend, but the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters still managed to average 5.9 correct tips, bolstered most of all by MoSSBODS_Marg's haul of 7 from 9.

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April 30, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 27, 2017

2017 - Round 6 : Overs/Unders Update

April 27, 2017/ Tony Corke

This week, the average absolute difference between MoSSBODS' and the bookmakers' opinions about game totals is about 7 points per game. In seven of the games, the difference is more than six points, which has led to the most wagering activity we've seen from the Over/Under Fund this season. But more about that in a moment.

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April 27, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 26, 2017

2017 - Round 6 : By How Much?

April 26, 2017/ Tony Corke

This week, the forecasters - well, at least those that don't take bookmaker input - are split more in terms of victory margins than they are in terms of picking winners.

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April 26, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 25, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 5

April 25, 2017/ Tony Corke

Adelaide did enough this week, according to MoSSBODS, to reclaim 1st position and also did enough, according to MoSHBODS, to retain 1st position on Combined Ratings.

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April 25, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 25, 2017

2017 - Round 5 Results - MoSHBODS Snatches the Lead

April 25, 2017/ Tony Corke

This (extended) weekend, eight of the nine winners were ranked higher on the competition ladder than their opponents going into the round, but only seven were favourites. As a result, Consult The Ladder (CTL) recorded its equal-best single round result of the season so far.

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April 25, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 19, 2017

2017 - Round 5 : Overs/Unders Update

April 19, 2017/ Tony Corke

Of course they did; of course they did.

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April 19, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
April 18, 2017

2017 - Round 5 : Relative Calm

April 18, 2017/ Tony Corke

Monday football makes for busy weeks at the MoS Factory and seemingly no gap between one round and the next.

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April 18, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 17, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 4

April 17, 2017/ Tony Corke

It's instructive this week to see how MoSHBODS and MoSSBODS have treated the results for Adelaide and GWS.

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April 17, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 17, 2017

2017 - Round 4 Results - MoSHBODS Continues to Challenge

April 17, 2017/ Tony Corke

As regular readers of this blog will know, one of the aspects of the 2017 season that I was particularlylooking forward to was the battle between MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS, and between both of them and the other MoS forecasters, especially those based on the TAB Bookmaker's opinions.

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April 17, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 13, 2017

2017 - Round 4 : ChiPS Reconsiders Two Games

April 13, 2017/ Tony Corke

ChiPS has had a rethink about the Carlton v Gold Coast, and Hawthorn v Geelong games (now that I've told it about the result of last week's Gold Coast v Hawthorn game ...)

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April 13, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
April 13, 2017

2017 - Round 4 : Over/Under Update

April 13, 2017/ Tony Corke

I'm currently facing a set of mutually incompatible objectives in my over/under wagering and its chronicling here on the blog.

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April 13, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 4 Comments
April 11, 2017

2017 - Round 4 : ChiPS Doubles Down

April 11, 2017/ Tony Corke

ChiPS has continued its run of contrarian forecasts this week.

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April 11, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 10, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 3

April 10, 2017/ Tony Corke

Adelaide continues to impress MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS, and remains as the number 1 team for both, variously considered as a +7.4 Scoring Shot better-than-average team by MoSSBODS and a +27.1 point better-than-average team by MoSHBODS when playing at a neutral venue against an average team.

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April 10, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 09, 2017

2017 - Round 3 Results - It Depends On What You Look At

April 09, 2017/ Tony Corke

It's almost always a tough round for the rational Head-to-Head Tipsters when Home Sweet Home (HSH) records the best performance of all of them. Only MoSSBODS_Marg managed to do almost as well as HSH's 6 from 9, it's 5 from 9 moving it to 16 from 27 (59%) for the season and dragging it into a five-way tie for second behind ENS_Linear's 17 from 27 (63%).

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April 09, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 05, 2017

2017 - Round 3 : Over/Under Update

April 05, 2017/ Tony Corke

The bookmakers have as many as five games producing over 200 points this week, the Saints v Lions game foremost among them where both the TAB and Centrebet have set the total at 206.5.

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April 05, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 04, 2017

2017 - Round 3 : ChiPS Goes Rogue

April 04, 2017/ Tony Corke

We're back to Round 1 levels of disagreement this week, much of this fuelled by Consult The Ladder and Home Sweet Home amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters, and by C_Marg and C_Prob elsewhere.

Read More
April 04, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
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