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May 22, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 9

May 22, 2017/ Tony Corke

Adelaide, according to MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS, didn't do quite enough in their victory over the Lions to reclaim the number 1 spot, which has now been held by Port Adelaide for the past two weeks.

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May 22, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 21, 2017

2017 - Round 9 Results - Simple Success

May 21, 2017/ Tony Corke

This week it was the turn of the RSMP Head-to-Head Tipsters to outperform the field, the pair recording the only 6 from 9 performances, which sees them now sitting one tip clear at the top of the Leaderboard on 51 from 80 (64%).

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May 21, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 18, 2017

2017 - Round 9 : Overs/Unders Update II

May 18, 2017/ Tony Corke

The last two Totals markets were posted much as we expected and left MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS predicting, on average across the entire round, about an extra goal and a half per game compared to the bookmakers.

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May 18, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 18, 2017

2017 - Round 9 : Overs/Unders Update I

May 18, 2017/ Tony Corke

This weekend's football seems very likely to be rain-affected, which should provide an interesting assessment of the extent to which MoSSBODS' ignorance of weather impairs its practical efficacy as an informer for over/under wagering.

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May 18, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 16, 2017

2017 - Round 9 : Hard to Pick

May 16, 2017/ Tony Corke

Amongst this weekend's slightly truncated set of eight matches, five have bookmaker handicaps that imply the final victory margin will be under 14 points.

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May 16, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 15, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 8

May 15, 2017/ Tony Corke

The Crows, after their second successive loss - the latest one to the Dees - have surrendered their number 1 ranking on both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS. That spot has been taken by their cross-town rivals, Port Adelaide.

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May 15, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 14, 2017

2017 - Round 8 Results - Everyone Takes Five

May 14, 2017/ Tony Corke

Five favourites won over the weekend, and all of the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters joined BKB in scoring five out of nine for the round.

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May 14, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 10, 2017

2017 - Round 8 : Overs/Unders Update

May 10, 2017/ Tony Corke

MoSSBODS and both the TAB and Centrebet bookmakers think we'll see over 200 points in one game this weekend. MoSHBODS thinks we'll see it in two.

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May 10, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
May 09, 2017

2017 - Round 8 : Only Haggling Over the Margins

May 09, 2017/ Tony Corke

Were it not for Home Sweet Home, this week we'd have a zero all-Tipster Disagreement Index across the Head-to-Head Tipsters.

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May 09, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 4 Comments
May 08, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 7

May 08, 2017/ Tony Corke

Though the Crows are now not as unbeatable as they seemed to be a week ago, they're still the highest rated team in the competition, according to both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS.

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May 08, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 07, 2017

2017 - Round 7 Results - Consult The Ladder Bags a Bagel

May 07, 2017/ Tony Corke

What an extraordinary round that was, with every one of the nine victors a team that started the week lower on the competition ladder than did the team they beat.

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May 07, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 04, 2017

2017 - Round 7 : Overs/Unders Update

May 04, 2017/ Tony Corke

The likelihood of rain at Bellerive on Saturday seems to have led to a relatively large difference in the Totals posted by the TAB and Centrebet for the Roos v Adelaide game being played there then.

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May 04, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 02, 2017

2017 - Round 7 : Not Much Debate

May 02, 2017/ Tony Corke

The usual suspects aside, there's not much disagreement amongst the forecaster families this week, with overall disagreement levels registering new or equal lows for both the Head-to-Head Tipsters and the Margin Predictors.

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May 02, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 4 Comments
May 01, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 6

May 01, 2017/ Tony Corke

MoSSBODS now rates Port Adelaide a fractionally better side than GWS after a weekend in which the Giants conceded 28 scoring shots to the Dogs, and Port racked up 40 against the Lions. MoSHBODS also rates the two teams almost equally but puts the Giants narrowly ahead.

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May 01, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 30, 2017

2017 - Round 6 Results - MoSSBODS' Turn

April 30, 2017/ Tony Corke

Only five of the round's favourites prevailed this weekend, but the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters still managed to average 5.9 correct tips, bolstered most of all by MoSSBODS_Marg's haul of 7 from 9.

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April 30, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 27, 2017

2017 - Round 6 : Overs/Unders Update

April 27, 2017/ Tony Corke

This week, the average absolute difference between MoSSBODS' and the bookmakers' opinions about game totals is about 7 points per game. In seven of the games, the difference is more than six points, which has led to the most wagering activity we've seen from the Over/Under Fund this season. But more about that in a moment.

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April 27, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 26, 2017

2017 - Round 6 : By How Much?

April 26, 2017/ Tony Corke

This week, the forecasters - well, at least those that don't take bookmaker input - are split more in terms of victory margins than they are in terms of picking winners.

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April 26, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 25, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 5

April 25, 2017/ Tony Corke

Adelaide did enough this week, according to MoSSBODS, to reclaim 1st position and also did enough, according to MoSHBODS, to retain 1st position on Combined Ratings.

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April 25, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 25, 2017

2017 - Round 5 Results - MoSHBODS Snatches the Lead

April 25, 2017/ Tony Corke

This (extended) weekend, eight of the nine winners were ranked higher on the competition ladder than their opponents going into the round, but only seven were favourites. As a result, Consult The Ladder (CTL) recorded its equal-best single round result of the season so far.

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April 25, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 19, 2017

2017 - Round 5 : Overs/Unders Update

April 19, 2017/ Tony Corke

Of course they did; of course they did.

Read More
April 19, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
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