2026 - Team Ratings After Round 0

MoSHBODS changed the ranking of a dozen teams this week after which it had Western Bulldogs in 1st, Brisbane Lions in 2nd, and Gold Coast in 3rd, all of them having a higher offensive than defensive rating and the Gold Coast being only one of two teams rising by more than a single place. Geelong was the big faller, dropping three places into 4th.

MARS also moved a dozen teams and arrived at a Top 3 of Dogs, Lions, and Hawks. The Cats also suffered the largest decline on this System, dropping four places into 5th.

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2026 - Round 0 Results - Promising

In some seasons, your start sets you up to play catch-up for at least the next few rounds. Mercifully, this season won’t be one of them.

Three of the early week favourites were successful this week, which saw all but three of our Head-to-Head Tipsters recording that score. The outliers were the new MARS_Marg algorithm who now leads the field on four, and Consult The Ladder and MoSHBODS_Marg who trail the field on two.

The all-Tipster average score came in at 2.9 from 5.

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2026 - Round 0 : Getting In Early

Welcome to a new men’s AFL season. With so many AI-assisted changes, it’s hard not to be genuinely excited about watching how the year pans out and whether all the additional off-season work has been worth it.

We’re starting off slow again this season, with Round 0 - Origin Round - comprising only five games. Amongst them there are three home team favourites and two away team favourites, and all but one of the games has an expected victory margin of less than three goals. Even the least well-matched contest is only expected to be decided by about 3-and-a-half goals, so we should, in theory, be in for a round of close contests.

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2026 - The Year Ahead on MoS

MoS is going around again for what is now its 21st year of operation, and there’s been a lot going on in the off-season, much of it assisted by AI, in particular ChatGPT.

I’m very aware of the ambivalence and sometimes clear hostility that many people feel about AI, and LLMs in particular, and can understand the outrage that artists and authors feel about their works being incorporated wholesale, with neither permission nor recompense, in the training material for LLMs.

Oddly, I think, there appears to be little or no backlash about the similar absorption of extant programming code into the corpuses of ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini AI and others. There seems to be a collective agreement that such coding effort does not embody creativity, or at least not in the same way or to the same extent as does, say, a novel or a painting. This sells short the art of coding, I’d suggest, but it is what it is.

In any case, as I say, ChatGPT has been a very helpful companion for much of the new work I’m about to describe. My feeling at this stage is that AI represents a clear benefit for people at my level of coding ability, which allows me to craft prompts for coding efforts using the appropriate terminology and to intuit when the outputs of those prompts are likely in error. What those prompts create are outputs that would either take me orders of magnitude longer to produce or, in some cases, would not be possible for me to produce at all given my current knowledge.

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