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Wagers & Tips

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April 03, 2018

2018 - Round 3 : Lots More Disagreement

April 03, 2018/ Tony Corke

The tipping carnage in Round 2 was always a possibility this week given the general slightness of favouritism in each of the nine contests.

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April 03, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 02, 2018

2018 - Team Ratings After Round 2

April 02, 2018/ Tony Corke

It's a short week this week (and my non-footy, pays-the-bills working life is about to get a little busy), so I'm providing the updated team ratings tonight.

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April 02, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 02, 2018

2018 - Round 2 Results - I Think Someone Shuffled The Deck

April 02, 2018/ Tony Corke

Only three TAB mid-week favourites finished in front this week so BKB, just like all but one of the Head-to-Head Tipsters, registered 3 from 9 for the round.

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April 02, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
March 28, 2018

2018 - Round 2 : Overs/Unders Update

March 28, 2018/ Tony Corke

Whenever MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS have opinions so significantly different from the bookmakers', my prior, I admit, tends always towards MoS being in error, but if I always acted based on that prior I'd never have the admittedly occasional windfall rounds.

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March 28, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
March 27, 2018

2018 - Round 2 : No Tip is Safe

March 27, 2018/ Tony Corke

According to the bookmakers - and the empirical data strongly supports the hypothesis that they know a bit - no team is more than about a 3-goal favourite this week, which should make for an interesting if difficult-to-tip round.

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March 27, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
March 26, 2018

2018 - Team Ratings After Round 1

March 26, 2018/ Tony Corke

For the first time since the end of the 1980 season, Richmond has top rating on MoSHBODS after jumping two places to overtake Adelaide and Sydney this week.

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March 26, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
March 25, 2018

2018 - Round 1 Results - Better for the Run

March 25, 2018/ Tony Corke

With seven favourites and one equal-favourite emerging victorious from the embers of Round 1, it was fairly predictable that we'd see strong performances across the board from a number of MoS forecasters.

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March 25, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
March 21, 2018

2018 - Round 1 : Overs/Unders Update

March 21, 2018/ Tony Corke

Some now-familiar early-season coyness by the bookmakers in posting totals markets meant that this post had to be delayed until today (Wednesday). Those markets only popped up onto the websites sometime early this afternoon - while I was on a client site as fate would have it, though I doubt they moved much if at all before I captured them.

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March 21, 2018/ Tony Corke/ 4 Comments
March 18, 2018

2018 - Round 1 : Well Here I Am Again ...

March 18, 2018/ Tony Corke

I'm back this week and feeling much like Tennyson (ie a little rusty) but looking forward to resuming the routine.

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March 18, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
February 21, 2018

The MoS Tipsters, Predictors and Funds for 2018

February 21, 2018/ Tony Corke

Last year was a very good one here on MoS, with one or other of MoSSBODS' or MoSHBODS' algorithms out-tipping the bookmakers on head-to-head, margin and probability forecasting.

Given that, it would seem silly to change much at all - so I won't be.

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February 21, 2018/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
October 01, 2017

2017 - Totals and Team Scores Forecasting

October 01, 2017/ Tony Corke

MoSSBODS predicted the winner of the Grand Final and also went closest, amongst our four forecasters, to predicting the game Margin as well as the Home team and Away team scores.

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October 01, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
October 01, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 27 (Grand Final Week)

October 01, 2017/ Tony Corke

MoSSBODS swapped Richmond and Adelaide this week, catapulting the Premiers into top spot and relegating the Minor Premiers to 3rd. MoSHBODS, conversely, had the Tigers closing the gap to the Swans but still finishing 3rd, and the Crows hanging on for 1st by about 3 points.

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October 01, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 30, 2017

2017 - Round 27 Results (Grand Final) - MoSSBODS Flags It

September 30, 2017/ Tony Corke

MoSSBODS_Marg, in tipping the Tigers, extended its lead at the top of the Leaderboard, finishing the season three tips clear of the pack on 135.5 from 207 (66%). The two RSMP Tipsters finished in joint 2nd place, one tip ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg.

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September 30, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 25, 2017

2017 - Round 27 (Grand Final Week) : It's Adelaide's! (Probably)

September 25, 2017/ Tony Corke

This week, our lone contrarian forecaster is MoSSBODS who's narrowly come down in favour of the Tigers. All the other Head-to-Head Tipsters have gone with the Crows.

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September 25, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 23, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 26 (Week 3 of the Finals)

September 23, 2017/ Tony Corke

Sydney slipped back into 2nd on MoSSBODS this week, leaving the two MoS Systems now in perfect agreement about the order of the Top 6 teams. That result required MoSHBODS to make its only adjustment of the week, swapping GWS into 4th for Port Adelaide.

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September 23, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 23, 2017

2017 - Round 26 Results (Week 3 of the Finals) - Just As We Suspected

September 23, 2017/ Tony Corke

C_Marg's errant prediction of a Giants win was the only thing preventing a 2 from 2 performance from all the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters this week. The all -Tipster average was, instead, 1.9 from 2.

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September 23, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 17, 2017

2017 - Round 26 (Week 3 of the Finals) : Only One Bird Remains

September 17, 2017/ Tony Corke

Only C_Marg has dared tip against the favourites this week, it opting for an upset Giants win over the Tigers by about 3 points.

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September 17, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 17, 2017

2017 - Team Ratings After Round 25 (Week 2 of the Finals)

September 17, 2017/ Tony Corke

Sydney slipped back into 2nd on MoSSBODS this week, leaving the two MoS Systems now in perfect agreement about the order of the Top 6 teams. That result required MoSHBODS to make its only adjustment of the week, swapping GWS into 4th for Port Adelaide.

Read More
September 17, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 16, 2017

2017 - Round 25 Results (Week 2 of the Finals) - Still MoS Everywhere

September 16, 2017/ Tony Corke

Only Home Sweet Home and Consult The Ladder tipped both winners this week, but that had little effect on the Leaderboard for the Head-to-Head Tipsters, which still has MoSSBODS_Marg two tips clear at the top.

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September 16, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 11, 2017

2017 - Round 25 (Week 2 of the Finals) : The Two Sydneys

September 11, 2017/ Tony Corke

With the bookmaking markets posted, all of the MoS algorithms that use prices as inputs have what they need to do what they do, so, the bye week notwithstanding, there's no reason not to post the full set of forecasts today.

Read More
September 11, 2017/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
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