MoSSBODS now rates Sydney as the top team, ahead of Adelaide and Richmond, while MoSHBODS has an unchanged Top 3 of Adelaide, Sydney and Richmond. On both Systems, the Ratings gap between Adelaide and Sydney is very small.

Finals, for the most part history shows, tend to follow the script, which is what we saw this weekend before the extraordinarily unscripted extra-time performance on Saturday evening.

With the bookmaking markets posted, all of the MoS algorithms that use prices as inputs have what they need to do what they do, so, the bye week notwithstanding, there's no reason not to post the full set of forecasts today.

MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS have identical Top 3s of Adelaide, Sydney then Richmond after the weekend's results, though they differ about the ordering, if not the composition of positions 4th to 6th.

The competition ladder and the TAB Bookmaker were relatively poor indicators of the winning teams and their margins this weekend.

This week, five teams are expected to score 100 points or more by at least one forecaster, the Brisbane Lions, Sydney, Port Adelaide and Essendon expected to do so by all four. MoSSBODS alone adds the Kangaroos to that list.

It's genuinely hard for me to believe that we're at the end of the home-and-away season already with the equivalent of only two regular rounds worth of games to be played. 

Sydney's victory over Adelaide, coming as it did on the back of substantially fewer scoring shots, failed to impress MoSSBODS or MoSHBODS, both of which reacted by transferring Rating Points from the Swans to the Crows. Regardless of that, these two teams remain comfortably ahead of the remainder on both Systems.

Seven favourites or equal-favourites won this week, which made for good tipping amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters, the only one bagging fewer than six being Home Sweet Home, and the all-Tipster average finishing at 6.2.

The two RSMP Tipsters bagged seven, which was enough to drag them into a share of the lead now with MoSSBODS_Marg on 121.5 from 189 (64%). 

In yet another round where the four forecasters are predicting a sub-180 average Total, only five teams are expected to score 100 points by at least one of them.

Regular readers will know that many of the MoS forecasters use no player or bookmaker price information, which leaves them potentially exposed in weeks where teams' lists are materially different from their regular list or where motivation levels might not be normal levels

Adelaide and Sydney continue to enjoy a healthy rating lead over all of their rivals on both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS, though GWS are making most progress in bridging or, at least, steadying the gap.

For the first time this season, one of the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters, ENS_Linear, has picked the right team in every contest.

Six teams are considered likely to score 100 points or more this weekend according to at least one of the four forecasters.

Expected victory margins are a little higher this week, though still at historically low levels. You really do have to keep reminding yourself just how extraordinarily even this season has been. (I should write an article about that ...)

Adelaide and Sydney put some space between themselves and the other 16 teams over the weekend after convincing wins over other top 6 ranked teams. They are now ranked 1st and 2nd, in that order, on MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS.

All but one of the mid-week favourites won this weekend, which made for high scores amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters, the all-Tipster average finishing at 7.1 from 9.

This week, the TAB over/under markets went up over about a 45 minute period, which makes last week's delays all the more strange. 

What we have is consensus across all four forecasters that the Western Bulldogs will score over 100 points and be the round's high-scorer this week, and near-consensus - with MoSHBODS the lone dissenter - that Collingwood will be the only other team to register three figures.

This week it's a return to a menu full of games expected to be decided by three goals or less, with only three games not fitting that description according to the bookmakers.

Sydney, by virtue of sinking more slowly than their nearest rivals, have retained top spot on MoSSBODS' Ratings this week, whilst Adelaide have employed the same tactic to snatch 2nd from Port Adelaide.