MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 24
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage).
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.93
Opponent Points per Game: +0.92
MoS Win Production Function: +0.9
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.88
Q1 Performances: +0.87
Percent of Quarters Won: +0.86
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.85
Own Points per Game: +0.84
Q4 Performances: +0.82
Own Goals per Game: +0.81
Q2 Performances: +0.75
The only metric that is currently rank correlated less than +0.5 with ladder position is
Opponent Conversion Rate: +0.43
Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Adelaide have won 83% of Q2s but only 52% of Q3s.
Brisbane Lions have won 65% of Q1s and Q3s but only 46% of Q4s.
Carlton have won 61% of Q1s but only 22% of Q3s.
Collingwood have won 76% of Q3s but only 43% of Q4s.
Essendon have won 45% of Q2s but only 23% of Q1s.
Fremantle have won 61% of Q1s but only 37% of Q2s.
Geelong have won 70% of Q4s but only 50% of Q2s.
Gold Coast have won 64% of Q1s but only 45% of Q2s.
Hawthorn have won 70% of Q3s but only 48% of Q4s.
Melbourne have won 54% of Q3s but only 33% of Q1s.
Port Adelaide have won 52% of Q3s but only 20% of Q4s.
Western Bulldogs have won 76% of Q4s but only 48% of Q1s.
Adelaide, Collingwood, Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters
Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, and West Coast are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are still the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are still the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Carlton have scored 33% of their points in Q1s
Melbourne have scored 32% and Essendon 31% of their points in Q3s
Collingwood have conceded 19% of the total points they have in Q3s
Adelaide have converted at 62% in Q2s and Q4s
Hawthorn have converted at 62% in Q2s, as have Western Bulldogs in Q3s, and North Melbourne in Q4s.
Melbourne’s opponents have converted at 65% in Q4s
Fremantle’s opponents have converted at 62% in Q2s and 43% in Q3s
Adelaide’s opponents have converted at 43% in Q4s