MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 24.1

Below is the final Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table for the season.

The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Goals per Game: +0.92

  • Opponent Points per Game: +0.91

  • Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.89

  • MoS Win Production Function: +0.89

  • Percent of Quarters Won: +0.86

  • Q1 Performances: +0.85

  • Own Points per Game: +0.84

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.83

  • Own Goals per Game: +0.81

  • Q4 Performances: +0.8

  • Q2 Performances: +0.79

The only metric that is rank correlated less than +0.5 with ladder position is

  • Opponent Conversion Rate: +0.42

You might summarise success in the home and away season then as being about:

  • Defensive ability

  • Good starts

Next, here’s the final Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:

  • Adelaide won 87% of Q2s but only 57% of Q3s.

  • Brisbane Lions won 70% of Q3s but only 46% of Q4s.

  • Carlton won 65% of Q1s but only 26% of Q3s.

  • Collingwood won 76% of Q3s but only 48% of Q4s.

  • Essendon won 43% of Q2s and Q4s but only 22% of Q1s.

  • Fremantle won 61% of Q1s and Q3s but only 41% of Q2s.

  • Geelong won 70% of Q4s but only 54% of Q2s.

  • Gold Coast won 70% of Q1s but only 52% of Q2s.

  • Hawthorn won 70% of Q3s but only 52% of Q4s.

  • Melbourne won 59% of Q3s but only 33% of Q1s.

  • Port Adelaide won 57% of Q3s but only 20% of Q4s.

  • Sydney won 57% of Q4s but only 39% of Q2s.

  • West Coast won 33% of Q2s but only 15% of Q3s and Q4s.

  • Western Bulldogs won 80% of Q4s but only 52% of Q1s.

  • Adelaide, Collingwood, Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to outscore their opponents in all four quarters

  • Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, and West Coast are the only teams to be outscored by their opponents in all four quarters

  • Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Carlton scored 32% of their points in Q1s

  • Melbourne scored 33% and Essendon 31% of their points in Q3s

  • Adelaide converted at 62% in Q2s and Q4s

  • Hawthorn converted at 62% in Q2s, as did Western Bulldogs in Q3s, and North Melbourne in Q4s.

  • Melbourne’s opponents converted at 65% in Q4s

  • Fremantle’s opponents converted at 62% in Q2s and 43% in Q3s

  • Adelaide’s opponents converted at 43% in Q4s