MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 24.1
/Below is the final Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table for the season.
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.92
Opponent Points per Game: +0.91
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.89
MoS Win Production Function: +0.89
Percent of Quarters Won: +0.86
Q1 Performances: +0.85
Own Points per Game: +0.84
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.83
Own Goals per Game: +0.81
Q4 Performances: +0.8
Q2 Performances: +0.79
The only metric that is rank correlated less than +0.5 with ladder position is
Opponent Conversion Rate: +0.42
You might summarise success in the home and away season then as being about:
Defensive ability
Good starts
Next, here’s the final Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Adelaide won 87% of Q2s but only 57% of Q3s.
Brisbane Lions won 70% of Q3s but only 46% of Q4s.
Carlton won 65% of Q1s but only 26% of Q3s.
Collingwood won 76% of Q3s but only 48% of Q4s.
Essendon won 43% of Q2s and Q4s but only 22% of Q1s.
Fremantle won 61% of Q1s and Q3s but only 41% of Q2s.
Geelong won 70% of Q4s but only 54% of Q2s.
Gold Coast won 70% of Q1s but only 52% of Q2s.
Hawthorn won 70% of Q3s but only 52% of Q4s.
Melbourne won 59% of Q3s but only 33% of Q1s.
Port Adelaide won 57% of Q3s but only 20% of Q4s.
Sydney won 57% of Q4s but only 39% of Q2s.
West Coast won 33% of Q2s but only 15% of Q3s and Q4s.
Western Bulldogs won 80% of Q4s but only 52% of Q1s.
Adelaide, Collingwood, Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to outscore their opponents in all four quarters
Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, and West Coast are the only teams to be outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Carlton scored 32% of their points in Q1s
Melbourne scored 33% and Essendon 31% of their points in Q3s
Adelaide converted at 62% in Q2s and Q4s
Hawthorn converted at 62% in Q2s, as did Western Bulldogs in Q3s, and North Melbourne in Q4s.
Melbourne’s opponents converted at 65% in Q4s
Fremantle’s opponents converted at 62% in Q2s and 43% in Q3s
Adelaide’s opponents converted at 43% in Q4s