MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 23
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage).
The gulf between the Top and Bottom 9 remains a feature and, after this week’s results, the average all-metrics rankings of the Top 9 teams range from Adelaide’s 2.1 to Fremantle’s 8.4, while those of the Bottom 9 range from Sydney’s 11.3 to West Coast’s 17.2.
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.93
Opponent Points per Game: +0.91
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.89
Q1 Performances: +0.88
MoS Win Production Function: +0.87
Percent of Quarters Won: +0.87
Own Points per Game: +0.85
Own Goals per Game: +0.82
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.82
Q4 Performances: +0.81
Q2 Performances: +0.75
Q3 Performances: +0.71
No metric is currently rank correlated less than +0.5 with ladder position.
Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Adelaide have won 86% of Q2s but only 55% of Q3s.
Brisbane Lions have won 68% of Q1s and Q3s but only 48% of Q4s.
Carlton have won 64% of Q1s but only 23% of Q3s.
Collingwood have won 80% of Q3s but only 45% of Q4s.
Essendon have won 48% of Q2s but only 24% of Q1s.
Fremantle have won 64% of Q1s but only 39% of Q2s.
Geelong have won 73% of Q4s but only 52% of Q2s.
Gold Coast have won 67% of Q1s but only 48% of Q2s.
Hawthorn have won 73% of Q3s but only 50% of Q4s.
Melbourne have won 57% of Q3s but only 34% of Q1s.
Port Adelaide have won 55% of Q3s but only 20% of Q4s.
Western Bulldogs have won 80% of Q4s but only 50% of Q1s.
Adelaide, Collingwood, Geelong, Gold Coast, GWS, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are now the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters
Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, and West Coast are now the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are still the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are still the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Carlton have scored 33% of their points in Q1s
Melbourne have scored 32% and Essendon 31% of their points in Q3s
Collingwood have conceded 19% and Fremantle 20% of the total points they have in Q3s
Adelaide have converted at 63% in Q4s
Hawthorn have converted at 62% in Q2s, as have Western Bulldogs in Q3s, and North Melbourne in Q4s.
Melbourne’s opponents have converted at 65% in Q4s
Fremantle’s opponents have converted at 63% in Q2s and 42% in Q3s
Adelaide’s opponents have converted at 41% in Q4s