MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 22
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which offers a snapshot of the ever-widening gap between the top 9 and bottom 9 teams when looking across all metrics (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage).
To quantify this schism, I’d note that the average all-metrics rankings of the Top 9 teams range from Adelaide’s 2.1 to Brisbane Lion’s 7.9, while those of the Bottom 9 range from Sydney’s 10.9 to West Coast’s 16.9.
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Points per Game: +0.94
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.93
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.92
MoS Win Production Function: +0.91
Q1 Performances: +0.86
Percent of Quarters Won: +0.84
Own Points per Game: +0.83
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.83
Own Goals per Game: +0.82
Q4 Performances: +0.76
Q3 Performances: +0.70
That least rank correlated with ladder position is:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.48
Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Adelaide have won 86% of Q2s but only 57% of Q3s.
Brisbane Lions have won 67% of Q1s and Q3s but only 45% of Q4s.
Carlton have won 62% of Q1s but only 19% of Q3s.
Collingwood have won 79% of Q3s but only 48% of Q4s.
Essendon have won 50% of Q2s but only 20% of Q1s.
Fremantle have won 67% of Q1s but only 36% of Q2s.
Geelong have won 71% of Q4s but only 50% of Q2s.
Gold Coast have won 70% of Q1s but only 50% of Q2s.
GWS have won 74% of Q4s but only 52% of Q1s and Q3s.
Port Adelaide have won 57% of Q3s but only 17% of Q4s.
Western Bulldogs have won 79% of Q4s but only 48% of Q1s.
Adelaide, Collingwood, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are still the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters
Essendon, North Melbourne, Richmond, and West Coast remain the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are still the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are still the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Carlton have scored 32% in Q1s
Melbourne have scored 33% and Essendon 31% of their points in Q3s
Collingwood and Fremantle have conceded 19% of the total points they have in Q3s
Richmond have converted at 42% in Q4s
Adelaide have converted at 63% in Q4s and Hawthorn in Q2s
Melbourne’s opponents have converted at 66% in Q4s
Fremantle’s opponents have converted at 41% in Q3s
Adelaide’s opponents have converted at 40% in Q4s