MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 21

Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which continues to highlight a sizeable gap between the top 9 and bottom 9 teams when looking across all metrics (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage).

To quantify this schism, I’d note that the average all-metrics rankings of the Top 9 teams range from Adelaide’s 2.1 to Fremantle’s 7.7, while those of the Bottom 9 range from Sydney’s 11.1 to West Coast’s 17.1.

The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Goals per Game: +0.92

  • Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.92

  • Opponent Points per Game: +0.91

  • Percent of Quarters Won: +0.9

  • MoS Win Production Function: +0.89

  • Own Points per Game: +0.83

  • Q1 Performances: +0.83

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.82

  • Own Goals per Game: +0.81

  • Q3 Performances: +0.79

That least rank correlated with ladder position is:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.49

Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:

  • Adelaide have won 90% of Q2s but only 55% of Q3s.

  • Brisbane Lions have won 70% of Q1s and Q3s but only 43% of Q4s.

  • Carlton have won 65% of Q1s but only 20% of Q3s.

  • Essendon have won 53% of Q2s but only 21% of Q1s.

  • Fremantle have won 65% of Q1s and Q3s but only 38% of Q2s.

  • Geelong have won 70% of Q4s but only 48% of Q2s.

  • Gold Coast have won 68% of Q1s but only 47% of Q2s.

  • GWS have won 73% of Q4s but only 50% of Q1s.

  • Port Adelaide have won 55% of Q3s but only 18% of Q4s.

  • Sydney have won 60% of Q4s but only 38% of Q3s.

  • Western Bulldogs have won 78% of Q4s but only 45% of Q1s.

  • Adelaide, Collingwood, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are now the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters

  • Essendon, North Melbourne, Richmond, and West Coast are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters

  • Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Fremantle, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are now the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Essendon, North Melbourne, Port Adelaide, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are now the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Carlton have scored 33% and Port Adelaide 31% of their points in Q1s

  • Melbourne have scored 32% and Essendon 31% of their points in Q3s

  • Collingwood and Fremantle have conceded 19% of the total points they have in Q3s

  • West Coast have converted at 43% in Q3s, as have Richmond in Q4s

  • Adelaide have converted at 63% in Q4s

  • Melbourne’s opponents have converted at 67% in Q4s

  • GWS’s opponents have converted at 42% in Q2s

  • Fremantle’s opponents have converted at 40% in Q3s, as have Adelaide’s opponents in Q4s