2026 - Round 5 Results - A Few Hiccups
/With a little more contrarianism this week, final scores ranged from Control the Ladder’s five from nine to Bookie Knows Best’s and ENS_Linear’s eight from nine, all of which left MARS_Marg still in 1st place and now on 35 from 45 (78%) but only two tips clear of Bookie Knows Best, ENS_Linear, and MoSHPlay_Marg.
The all-Tipster average score came in at 6.8 from 9, taking the season figure to 31.6 from 45 (71%).
Margin prediction performances were significantly better this week, with mean absolute errors (MAEs) ranging from ENS_Linear’s best of 18.7 points per game to MARS_Marg’s worst of 21.9 points per game.
MoSHPlay_Marg still heads the Leaderboard but by only just over a point from ENS_Linear who now has a healthy three-goal lead over Bookie_3.
The all-Predictor average for the round was was 20.0 points per game, which took the season-long figure to 25.4 points per game.
Log probability scores were all positive again this week and similar for all Predictors except MARS_Prob. As such, MoSHPlay_Prob retained top spot on the Leaderboard ahead of MoSHBODS_Prob, but MARS_Prob fell into last place.
WAGERING
Had West Coast’s final behind been a goal, the sign on the return to the Combined Portfolio would have been different, but that not being the case meant that both the Line and Head-to-Head Funds made losses.
The overall loss was 1.3c, which left the Combined Portfolio now up by 6.9c on a +15% ROI and a 0.46 turn.
