2026 - Team Ratings After Round 6

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MoSHBODS changed the ranking of only five teams this week, and only two by more than a single spot: Geelong up 2 spots into 2nd, and Western Bulldogs down 4 spots into 6th.

MARS moved 10 teams, including five by more than a single spot: Sydney up 2 into 1st, Geelong up 4 into 2nd, Hawthorn down 2 into 3rd, Western Bulldogs down 3 into 5th, and North Melbourne up 2 into 13th.

At the end of it all, MoSHBODS’ Top 3 is Swans, Cats, and Hawks, and MARS’ is Hawks, Cats, and Swans.

MoSHBODS RATINGS

Overall, MoSHBODS has nine teams rated as above average, with GWS’ rating so close to zero that treating it as other than that is silly.

On the Component Ratings, on offence we find MoSHBODS now with a Top 3 of Cats, Hawks, and Dogs, while on defence it has a Top 3 of Dockers, Pies, and Swans. Eleven teams are rated as above average on offence and only seven on defence.

Offensive ratings currently span a range of 1.35 standard deviations (down) and defensive ratings a range of 1.23 standard deviations (up). The standard deviation of offensive ratings across all teams is 0.37 and that for defensive ratings 0.34. Teams therefore continue to be more differentiated by their offensive abilities than their defensive abilities, but the distinction is getting smaller.

The correlation between the teams’ MoSHBODS offensive and defensive Ratings now stands at +0.72, which is lower than last week.

We can put the MoSHBODS Ratings into an historical context by looking at the offensive and defensive ratings that teams in other seasons had after Round 6 (recognising that this will have meant different numbers of games per team in different years)

We see that both the Cats and the Hawks are rated quite highly at this point of the season in the context of history

MARS RATINGS

MARS still has 10 teams rated better-than-average, after which there is a gap to St Kilda on 995.9.

The gap from 1st to 2nd is 0.9 Rating Points (down), from 1st to 4th is 4.6 Rating Points (up), and from 1st to 10th is 25.2 Rating Points (up).

Across all 18 teams, the Ratings span 73.3 Rating Points (up), the mean is 1,000 Rating Points, and the standard deviation is 22.1 Rating Points (up).

COMPARISON OF MOSHBODS AND MARS

The correlation between MoSHBODS’ Combined Ratings and MARS’ Ratings stands at +0.99 and, roughly speaking, each team’s Combined MoSHBODS Rating is about 0.03 times its MARS Rating less 29.8.

Looking firstly at the comparison between the ordering of the teams on MoSHBODS and MARS compared to their ordering on the competition ladder we see that the teams with the largest discrepancies are:

HIGHER ON THE LADDER THAN ON THE TEAM RATING SYSTEMS

  • North Melbourne and Melbourne

HIGHER ON THE TEAM RATING SYSTEMS THAN ON THE LADDER

  • Geelong, Brisbane Lions, and GWS

MoSHBODS and MARS agree about the ranking of 10 teams now, and differ by no more than two spots about the ranking of just one team.

They disagree most about the ranking of Fremantle, who MARS have 7th and MoSHBODS 4th.

Overall, the rank correlation between the two Systems is +0.971.