MoSHBODS’ average total this week is just under the bookmakers’, and the game-by-game absolute differences range from 0.2 to 8.9 points.

There’s agreement this week only about the likely lowest scoring game:

Highest Scoring Game

MoSHBODS: Melbourne v Geelong
Bookmakers: Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide

Lowest Scoring Game

All: Adelaide v Collingwood

Highest Scoring Team

MoSHBODS: Hawthorn
Bookmakers: Brisbane Lions

Lowest Scoring Team

MoSHBODS: West Coast
Bookmakers: Essendon

WAGERS

MoSHBODS fancied six wagers again this week, but had one of them vetoed by the rain rule and another by the TGTBT rule.

The four remaining wagers are three unders totalling 2.7% of the original Overs/Unders Fund, and one overs bet of 3.2%.

The estimated overlays for the wagers range from about 3 to 8 points.

PREVIOUS WEEK

Last week saw MoSHBODS take mean absolute error (MAE) honours for Game Margins, and the TAB do the same for the three other categories. That left the season-long leaders unchanged for all four contests.

The leads in each race are now as follows:

Game Margins: Sportsbet 1 point ahead of the TAB and 2 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Home Team Scores: TAB 6 points ahead of Sportsbet and 32 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Away Team Scores: Sportsbet 7 points ahead of the TAB, and 108 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Game Totals: Sportsbet 5 points ahead of the TAB, and 222 points ahead of MoSHBODS

Wagering and Game-by-Game Performance

There were two bets last weekend, a winning unders bet with Sportsbet, and a losing overs bet with the TAB.

That left MoSHBODS at 17 and 15 against the TAB and 9 and 7 against Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSHBODS was on the right side of the TAB and Sportsbet in 5 of the 9 games, taking it to 80 from 162 (49%) for the season against the TAB, and 75 from 162 (46%) for the season against Sportsbet.

The round-by-round performance is shown in the following table.