The average absolute difference between the MoS twins’ Total forecasts this week is 1.7 points per game, and there is only one game where the difference exceeds 3 points, and two where it is between 2 and 3 points. All four forecasters have very similar average expected total scores.

There is wholesale agreement this week about the highest- and lowest-scoring games and teams:

Highest Scoring Game

All: Western Bulldogs v Adelaide

Lowest Scoring Game

All: Fremantle v Hawthorn

Highest Scoring Team

All: Port Adelaide

Lowest Scoring Team

All: West Coast

WAGERS

With so much harmony and agreement, it’s no surprise (and maybe even a slight relief) that MoSSBODS hasn’t been able to find a wager this week.

No estimated overlay exceeds 6.4 points this week. hence the absence of wagers.

PREVIOUS WEEK

Last week saw the TAB take mean absolute error (MAE) honours for all four metrics, which of course means that it still has the season-long lead on all four metrics.

Those leads are now as follows:

Game Margins: the TAB 9 points ahead of Sportsbet, 103 points ahead of MoSHBODS, and 223 points ahead of MoSSBODS
Home Team Scores: TAB 17 points ahead of Sportsbet, 25 points ahead of MoSHBODS, and 103 points ahead of MoSSBODS
Away Team Scores: the TAB 11 points ahead of Sportsbet, 68 points ahead of MoSHBODS, and 107 points ahead of MoSSBODS
Game Totals: TAB 10 points ahead of Sportsbet, 52 points ahead of MoSHBODS, and 75 points ahead of MoSSBODS

Wagering and Game-by-Game Performance

There were two bets last week, one unsuccessful under wagers and one unsuccessful overs wager with the TAB. That left MoSSBODS with a 12 and 14 season-long record against the TAB, and a 6 and 6 season-long record against Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSSBODS was on the right side of the TAB in 3 games last week, and on the right side of Sportsbet in 4 games. MoSHBODS was on the right side of both bookmakers in 3 games.

That takes MoSSBODS to 71 from 143 (50%) against the TAB, and 72 from 143 (50%) against Sportsbet, and MoSHBODS to 81 from 143 (57%) against the TAB, and 80 from 143 (56%) against Sportsbet.

The round-by-round performance is shown in the following table.