MatterOfStats 2026 : Team Dashboard for Round 20
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which still suggests that GWS are unlucky to not be in the Top 10, and that the Dogs are perhaps lucky to be there.
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
MoS Win Production Function: +0.94
Percentage of Quarters Won: +0.91
Own Goals per Game: +0.89
Own Points per Game: +0.89
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.83
Opponent Points per Game: +0.76
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.76
Q2 Performances: +0.76
Q3 Performances: +0.74
Q1 Performances: +0.72
Q4 Performances: +0.72
Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.32
Next, here’s the latest top half of the Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Five teams have a winning streak of three games or more
Five teams have a losing streak of three games or more
Brisbane Lions have generated 29.1 scoring shots per game and Richmond 18.9
Fremantle have conceded just 20 scoring shots per game and Richmond 29.5
According to the MoS Win Production Function
Western Bulldogs have won 3 games more than expected based on their scoring statistics
Fremantle have won 1.5 games more than expected
Port Adelaide have won 2.5 games fewer than expected
St Kilda have won 1.6 games fewer than expected
Geelong and Gold Coast have won 1.5 games fewer than expected
Next, here’s the bottom half, with quarter-by-quarter stati
St Kilda have won 84% of Q1s, but only 39% of Q2s and Q3s
Geelong have won 79% of Q4s, but only 47% of Q3s
Essendon have won 53% of Q4s, but only 16% of Q1s
Collingwood have joined Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Fremantle, Hawthorn and Sydney as the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters (Melbourne’s Q1 percentage is just under 100)
Essendon joins Richmond and West Coast as the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
West Coast have scored 31% of their points in Q3s and have converted at only 42% in Q1s
Essendon have scored 35% of their points in Q4s.
St Kilda have conceded only 17% of their points in Q1s.
Gold Coast has converted at 64% in Q1s, but only 45% in Q4s
Brisbane Lions has converted at 63% in Q3s, but only 45% in Q2s
Adelaide has converted at 62% in Q1s
Richmond has converted at 37% in Q3s
Brisbane Lions and Carlton are both noteworthy for the difference between their opponents’ conversion rates in Q3 and Q4 compared to Q1 and Q2
Port Adelaide’s opponents have converted at 62% in Q1s
Melbourne’s opponents have converted at 61% in Q1s
Carlton’s opponents have converted at 61% in Q3s
Sydney’s opponents have converted at 40% in Q2s.
