MatterOfStats 2026 : Team Dashboard for Round 20

Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which still suggests that GWS are unlucky to not be in the Top 10, and that the Dogs are perhaps lucky to be there.

The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • MoS Win Production Function: +0.94

  • Percentage of Quarters Won: +0.91

  • Own Goals per Game: +0.89

  • Own Points per Game: +0.89

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.83

  • Opponent Points per Game: +0.76

  • Opponent Goals per Game: +0.76

  • Q2 Performances: +0.76

  • Q3 Performances: +0.74

  • Q1 Performances: +0.72

  • Q4 Performances: +0.72

Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.32

Next, here’s the latest top half of the Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:

  • Five teams have a winning streak of three games or more

  • Five teams have a losing streak of three games or more

  • Brisbane Lions have generated 29.1 scoring shots per game and Richmond 18.9

  • Fremantle have conceded just 20 scoring shots per game and Richmond 29.5

  • According to the MoS Win Production Function

    • Western Bulldogs have won 3 games more than expected based on their scoring statistics

    • Fremantle have won 1.5 games more than expected

    • Port Adelaide have won 2.5 games fewer than expected

    • St Kilda have won 1.6 games fewer than expected

    • Geelong and Gold Coast have won 1.5 games fewer than expected

Next, here’s the bottom half, with quarter-by-quarter stati

  • St Kilda have won 84% of Q1s, but only 39% of Q2s and Q3s

  • Geelong have won 79% of Q4s, but only 47% of Q3s

  • Essendon have won 53% of Q4s, but only 16% of Q1s

  • Collingwood have joined Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Fremantle, Hawthorn and Sydney as the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters (Melbourne’s Q1 percentage is just under 100)

  • Essendon joins Richmond and West Coast as the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters

  • West Coast have scored 31% of their points in Q3s and have converted at only 42% in Q1s

  • Essendon have scored 35% of their points in Q4s.

  • St Kilda have conceded only 17% of their points in Q1s.

  • Gold Coast has converted at 64% in Q1s, but only 45% in Q4s

  • Brisbane Lions has converted at 63% in Q3s, but only 45% in Q2s

  • Adelaide has converted at 62% in Q1s

  • Richmond has converted at 37% in Q3s

  • Brisbane Lions and Carlton are both noteworthy for the difference between their opponents’ conversion rates in Q3 and Q4 compared to Q1 and Q2

  • Port Adelaide’s opponents have converted at 62% in Q1s

  • Melbourne’s opponents have converted at 61% in Q1s

  • Carlton’s opponents have converted at 61% in Q3s

  • Sydney’s opponents have converted at 40% in Q2s.