MatterOfStats 2026 : Team Dashboard for Round 19

Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which now suggests that GWS are unlucky to not be in the Top 10, and that the Dogs are perhaps lucky to be there.

The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • MoS Win Production Function: +0.91

  • Percentage of Quarters Won: +0.88

  • Own Points per Game: +0.88

  • Own Goals per Game: +0.88

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.82

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.73

  • Q2 Performances: +0.72

  • Opponent Goals per Game: +0.70

That’s the first time I can recall Own Scoring Shot Conversion having a correlation that high.

Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.28

Next, here’s the latest top half of the Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:

  • Only four teams have a winning streak of three games or more

  • Only four teams have a losing streak of three games or more

  • West Coast have converted at a rate just 8% points lower than their opponents

  • Brisbane Lions have generated 28.9 scoring shots per game and Richmond 19.2

  • Fremantle have conceded just 20.4 scoring shots per game and Richmond 29.4

  • According to the MoS Win Production Function

    • Western Bulldogs have won 3.1 games more than expected based on their scoring statistics

    • Fremantle have won 1.6 games more than expected

    • Port Adelaide have won 2.7 games fewer than expected

    • Geelong have won 1.7 games fewer than expected

    • St Kilda have won 1.7 games fewer than expected

Next, here’s the bottom half, with quarter-by-quarter stati

  • St Kilda have won 83% of Q1s, but only 36% of Q3s

  • Essendon have won 56% of Q4s, but only 17% of Q1s

  • GWS have won 67% of Q3s, but only 42% of Q2s

  • Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Fremantle, Hawthorn and Sydney remain the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters

  • Richmond and West Coast remain the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters

  • West Coast have scored 31% of their points in Q3s, but only 20% in Q1s. They’ve converted at only 40% in Q1s

  • Essendon have scored 35% of their points in Q4s.

  • St Kilda have conceded only 17% of their points in Q1s.

  • Gold Coast has converted at 64% in Q1s, but only 44% in Q4s

  • Adelaide has converted at 62% in Q1s.

  • Brisbane Lions and Carlton are both noteworthy for the difference between their opponents’ conversion rates in Q3 and Q4 compared to Q1 and Q2

  • Port Adelaide’s opponents have converted at 64% in Q1s.

  • Sydney’s opponents have converted at 40% in Q2s.