MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 18

Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which shows the sizeable gap between the top 9 and bottom 9 teams (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage).

The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Points per Game: +0.93

  • Opponent Goals per Game: +0.91

  • MoS Win Production Function: +0.9

  • Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.9

  • Percent of Quarters Won: +0.88

  • Q1 Performances: +0.84

  • Own Points per Game: +0.82

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.81

  • Own Goals per Game: +0.8

  • Q3 Performances: +0.79

Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.35

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.45

Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:

  • Adelaide have won 88% of Q2s but only 59% of Q3s.

  • Carlton have won 65% of Q1s but only 21% of Q3s.

  • Essendon have won 63% of Q2s but only 25% of Q1s.

  • Geelong have won 76% of Q4s but only 44% of Q2s.

  • Sydney have won 65% of Q4s but only 29% of Q2s.

  • Western Bulldogs have won 74% of Q4s but only 41% of Q1s.

  • Adelaide, Collingwood, Gold Coast, and Western Bulldogs are now the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters

  • North Melbourne, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters

  • Carlton (Q1), Collingwood (Q3), Fremantle (Q3), Geelong (Q4), and GWS (Q4) all have particularly strong records in the quarters noted relative to their performances in the three other quarters.

  • Brisbane Lions, Collingwood Gold Coast, and Hawthorn are now the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Essendon, North Melbourne, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast remain the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Team Conversion rates by quarter remain highly variable for a few teams. For example, the Lions have converted at 62% in Q3s but only 45% in Q4s.

  • Other teams with a large range of conversion rates are:

    • Hawthorn: 62% Q2 and 46% Q1

    • St Kilda: 62% Q1 and 46% Q2

  • A number of teams also have a large range of opponent conversion rates across quarters:

    • Adelaide: 55% Q3 and 41% Q4

    • Fremantle: 60% Q2, and 42% Q3

    • Geelong: 61% Q3 and 47% Q4

    • Melbourne: 65% Q4 and 50% Q1

  • Carlton have scored 33% of their points in Q1s

  • Collingwood have conceded 18% of the total points they have in Q3s, Fremantle 19% in Q3s, and Geelong 18% in Q4s

  • Geelong have also conceded 31% of the total points they have in Q3s