MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 17
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which, possibly more strongly than ever this season, shows that the teams currently in the Top 8 deserve to be there based on the metrics shown here (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage).
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Points per Game: +0.93
Percent of Quarters Won: +0.92
MoS Win Production Function: +0.9
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.9
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.87
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.86
Own Points per Game: +0.86
Q3 Performances: +0.82
Own Goals per Game: +0.82
Q1 Performances: +0.78
Q4 Performances: +0.75
Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.37
Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.49
Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Adelaide have won 88% of Q2s but only 56% of Q3s.
Western Bulldogs have won 75% of Q2s but only 44% of Q1s.
Adelaide, Collingwood, Gold Coast, Hawthorn and Western Bulldogs are now the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters
North Melbourne, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are now the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
Carlton (Q1), Collingwood (Q3), Essendon (Q2), Fremantle (Q3), Geelong (Q4), GWS (Q4), Melbourne (Q3), Port Adelaide (Q1) all have particularly strong records in the quarters noted relative to their performances in the three other quarters.
Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Geelong, Gold Coast, Hawthorn, and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Essendon, North Melbourne, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast remain the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Team Conversion rates by quarter remain highly variable for a number of teams. For example, the Lions have converted at 62% in Q3s but only 47% in Q4s.
Other teams with a large range of conversion rates are:
Hawthorn: 61% Q2 and 46% Q1
North Melbourne: 63% Q2 and 49% Q1
St Kilda: 60% Q1 and 46% Q2
A number of teams also have a large range of opponent conversion rates across quarters:
Adelaide: 56% Q3 and 39% Q4
Essendon: 64% Q3 and 50% Q4
Fremantle: 60% Q2, and 43% Q3
Geelong: 61% Q3 and 44% Q4
Melbourne: 64% Q4 and 49% Q1
St Kilda: 60% Q2 and 46% Q4
Carlton have scored 33% of their points in Q1s and Port Adelaide 31%
Collingwood have conceded 18% of the total points they have in Q3s, Fremantle 19% in Q3s, and Geelong 17% in Q4s
Geelong have also conceded 31% of the total points they have in Q3s