MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 13
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which again shows that the teams currently in the Top 8 deserve to be there based on the metrics shown here (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage).
Outside the eight, Western Bulldogs still have metrics that would also justify a spot for them in the Top 8. The Win Production Function has them in 4th.
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Points per Game: +0.93
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.92
MoS Win Production Function: +0.90
Percent of Quarters Won: +0.88
Own Points per Game: +0.83
Own Goals per Game: +0.82
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.8
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.8
Q1 Performances: +0.75
Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.45
Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.46
Q2 Performances: +0.47
Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Geelong have won 92% of Q4s but only 42% of Q2s.
Adelaide, Collingwood, Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters
Richmond and West Coast remain the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
Still very few teams have similar percentages across all four quarters
Brisbane Lions (Q3), Carlton (Q1), Collingwood (Q3), Fremantle (Q3), Geelong (Q4), Gold Coast (Q4), North Melbourne (Q2), Melbourne (Q3), and Port Adelaide (Q1) all have particularly strong records in the quarters noted relative to their performances in the three other quarters.
Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs remain the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Essendon, North Melbourne, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are now the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Team Conversion rates by quarter remain highly variable for a number of teams. For example, the Lions have converted at 62% in Q3s but only 45% in Q1s.
Other teams with a large range of conversion rates are:
Essendon: 66% Q2 and 48% Q1
North Melbourne: 63% Q2 and 47% Q1
St Kilda: 68% Q1 and 46% Q2
A number of teams also have a large range of opponent conversion rates across quarters:
Adelaide: 55% Q3 and 38% Q4
Fremantle: 61% Q1 and Q2 and 44% Q3
Geelong: 58% Q3 and 43% Q4
Gold Coast: 64% Q3 and 46% Q1
Melbourne: 65% Q4 and 50% Q1
West Coast: 61% Q2 and 44% Q1