MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 12
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which now shows that the teams currently in the Top 8 deserve to be there based on the metrics shown here (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage), with the possible exception of Fremantle.
Outside the eight, Western Bulldogs have metrics that would also justify a spot for them in the Top 8. The Win Production Function has them in 3rd.
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
MoS Win Production Function: +0.90
Opponent Points per Game: +0.90
Percent of Quarters Won: +0.89
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.88
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.83
Own Goals per Game: +0.83
Own Points per Game: +0.80
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.79
Q1 Performances: +0.73
Q3 Performances: +0.70
Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:
Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.44
Q2 Performances: +0.47
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.50
Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Port Adelaide have still yet to win a Q4.
Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters
Richmond and West Coast remain the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
Still very few teams have similar percentages across all four quarters
Brisbane Lions (Q3), Carlton (Q1), Collingwood (Q3), Fremantle (Q3), Geelong (Q4), Gold Coast (Q4), GWS (Q4), North Melbourne (Q2), Melbourne (Q3), and Port Adelaide (Q1) all have particularly strong records in the quarters noted relative to their performances in the three other quarters.
Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
North Melbourne, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast are the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.
Team Conversion rates by quarter remain highly variable for many teams. For example, the Lions have converted at 64% in Q3s but only 45% in Q1s.
Other teams with a large range of conversion rates are:
Essendon: 65% Q2 and 48% Q1 and Q4
North Melbourne: 64% Q2 and Q4 and 46% Q1
Melbourne: 58% Q3 and 39% Q4
Port Adelaide: 54% Q1 and 38% Q4
St Kilda: 68% Q1 and 46% Q2
West Coast: 59% Q1 and 41% Q3
A number of teams also have a large range of opponent conversion rates across quarters:
Brisbane Lions: 62% Q1 and 46% Q3
Fremantle: 61% Q1 and Q2 and 44% Q3
Gold Coast: 66% Q3 and 45% Q1
Melbourne: 66% Q4 and 50% Q1
West Coast: 61% Q2 and 43% Q1