MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 11

Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which continues to show that the teams currently in the Top 8 deserve to be there based on the metrics shown here (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage). The persistent exception remains Essendon, who now rank no better than 4th on any metric, and 12th or lower on 9 metrics, and who have a percentage of just 85. The Win Production Function now suggests that their scoring data justifies 14th position on the ladder.

Outside the eight, GWS undoubtedly has the metrics that would justify a spot in the Top 8. The Win Production Function has them in 8th.

The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Points per Game: +0.89

  • MoS Win Production Function: +0.88

  • Percent of Quarters Won: +0.88

  • Opponent Goals per Game: +0.85

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.85

  • Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.82

  • Own Points per Game: +0.80

  • Own Goals per Game: +0.74

Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.37

  • Q2 Performances: +0.46

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.47

Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:

  • Port Adelaide have still yet to win a Q4.

  • Adelaide, Collingwood, Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs remain the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters

  • Richmond and West Coast remain the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters

  • Still very few teams have similar percentages across all four quarters

  • Brisbane Lions (Q3), Carlton (Q1), Collingwood (Q3), Geelong (Q4), Gold Coast (Q4), North Melbourne (Q2), Melbourne (Q3), Port Adelaide (Q1), and St Kilda (Q3 all have particularly strong records in the quarters noted relative to their performances in the three other quarters.

  • Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • North Melbourne and West Coast are the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Team Conversion rates by quarter remain highly variable for many teams. For example, the Lions have converted at 64% in Q3s but only 42% in Q1s.

  • Other teams with a large range of conversion rates are:

    • Essendon: 63% Q2 and 47% Q4

    • North Melbourne: 64% Q2 and Q4 and 46% Q1

    • Melbourne: 61% Q3 and 40% Q2

    • Port Adelaide: 54% Q1 and 38% Q4

    • Richmond: 59% Q2 and 41% Q4

    • St Kilda: 67% Q1 and 44% Q2

    • West Coast: 57% Q1 and 40% Q3

  • A number of teams also have a large range of opponent conversion rates across quarters:

    • Brisbane Lions: 62% Q1 and 43% Q3

    • Fremantle: 63% Q2 and 43% Q3

    • Gold Coast: 68% Q3 and 43% Q1

    • Melbourne: 66% Q4 and 47% Q1

    • West Coast: 61% Q2 and 43% Q1