AFLW 2026 - Round 3

WoSHBODS is forecasting only three home team wins and six away wins this week, with two of those wins by bookmaker opening-price underdogs.

The distribution of WoSHBODS expected margins is as follows:

• Under 2 goals: 5 games

• From 2 to under 4 goals: 1 game

• Over 4 goals: 3 games

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WAGERS

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The table at right documents a week of unprecedented shenanigans and shows what I’ve eventually secured versus what I wanted.

Overall, Investors have a head-to-head interest in seven games, and a line market interest in eight, with the head-to-head bets on three favourites and four underdogs, and the line bets on three definite favourites and three definite underdogs, with the two remaining wagers spanning positive and negative spans for the same team.

The head-to-head bets total just over 12% of the original Head-to-Head Fund, and the line bets just over 13% of the Line Fund.

In total, then, about 11% of the entire Combined Portfolio is at risk.

READY RECKONER

This week’s Ready Reckoner is even more abstractly beautiful

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