AFLW 2025 - Round 15 - Week 3 of the Finals

The bookmakers are forecasting a first Preliminary Final that will be won by just under five goals by the home team, and a second that will be won by just under two goals, also by the home team.

WoSHBODS, whose thoughts are below, sees both favourites winning, but the first by five-and-a-half goals, and the second by four-and-a-half goals.

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WoSHBODS Wagering

Investors have line wagers in both games totalling just under 5% of the original Line Fund, the majority of it on Brisbane at $1.87 and $1.90 and -11.5 and -12.5.

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Those are paired with a single head-to-head wager on Brisbane for 3.8% of that Fund.

Combined, that means that only around 3.6% of the entire Combined Portfolio is at risk this weekend.

We can see how that risk is spread across games and teams by referring to the Ready Reckoner at right.

Clearly, a Brisbane win by 13 points or more is by far the most important outcome.