WoSHBODS, like the TAB, tipped only four from nine winners this week, while Sportsbet managed five.

WoSHBODS also recorded a Margin MAE of just 25.3 points per game (compared to 24.9 and 25.2 for the bookmakers) and a Totals MAE of 12.6 points per game (compared to 16.9 for both bookmakers).

The LPS of -2.4 bits compares to -2.4 and -2.5 bits for the bookmakers.

The cumulative season-long results appear below.

Overall, we’re now at 69% accuracy for the season, 26.2 Margin MAE, and 18.1 Totals MAE, which remains very acceptable.

WAGERS

Both the Head-to-Head and Line Funds recorded a profit this week that, collectively, offset a loss by the Overs/Under Fund and raised the Combined Portfolio by just over 1c.

At weeks’ end, that Combined Portfolio is now down by just under 6c on a -10% ROI and a 0.6 turn.

(NB: An earlier version of this blog had the Overs/Unders Fund also returning a profit, but it turns out that 65 + 36 is 101, not 91 as I mentally calculated …)

TEAM DASHBOARD

The Team Dashboard metric rankings appear below and reveal that the metric rankings most associated with ladder position are:

WoS Win Production Function: +0.96
Q3 Performances: +0.87
Goals Conceded: +0.83
Points Conceded: +0.82
Percentage of Quarters Won: +0.79
Goals Scored: +0.75
Points Scored: +0.75

The full Team Dashboard appears below, and reveals that, among other things:

North Melbourne are yet to lose a Q2.
Richmond are yet to win a Q2.
North Melbourne have outscored their opponents by 3:1 or more in every quarter
They and Melbourne are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in every quarter
The only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in every quarter are Fremantle, Gold Coast, GWS, and Richmond.
North Melbourne, Melbourne, and Sydney are the only teams to have generated more scoring than their opponents in each of the four quarters
Fremantle, Gold Coast, and GWS are the only teams to have generated fewer scoring than their opponents in each of the four quarters