AFLW 2025 - Round 11 Results - Consolidation
/WoSHBODS tipped 7 from 9 winners this week, while both bookmakers tipped 8, which took WoSHBODS’ season-long record to 71 from 99 (72%).
WoSHBODS also recorded a Margin MAE of 12.7 points per game (compared to 12.5 and 12.6 for the bookmakers) and a Totals MAE of 12.6 points per game (compared to 11.9 and 11.8 for the bookmakers).
The LPS of +3.7 bits compares to +3.1 bits for the two bookmakers.
WoSHBODS continues to please.
The cumulative season-long results appear below.
Overall, we’re now at 72% accuracy for the season, 22.3 Game Margin MAE bookies 22.4 and 22.5), and 15.9 Totals MAE (bookies 16.1), and +21.9 LPS (bookies 21.1 and 21.3).
WAGERS
This week was another good one, with profits for all three Funds.
(Note that the Ready Reckoner for the Gold Coast v Collingwood game correctly showed 4.1% total for line betting on Collingwood at the top of the cell but the accompanying calculations were for only 2%. Hence the profit is a little better than shown there).
Altogether, the Combined Portfolio rose by just over 3c to finish up by 18.5c for the season on a +13% ROI and a 1.4 turn.
TEAM DASHBOARD
The Team Dashboard metric rankings appear below and reveal that the metric rankings most associated with ladder position are:
Percentage of Quarters Won: +0.88
WoS Win Production Function: +0.88
Goals Conceded: +0.82
Q3 Performances: +0.81
Goals Scored: +0.80
Scoring Shots Generated: +0.79
Points Conceded: +0.78
Points Scored: +0.76
Scoring Shots Conceded: +0.73
The metrics least associated with ladder position are:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.23
Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.47
At this stage, the team outside the Top 8 whose statistics most suggest it should perhaps be inside the Top 8 remains Western Bulldogs.
The full Team Dashboard appears below:
