2026 - Round 9 Results - All The Favourites
/Although, by definition, it is always the most likely single outcome, it is nevertheless very unlikely that all nine early-week pre-game favourites are successful, but that is what we saw this week. Roughly, based on the TAB bookmaker’s own estimates, the pre-round probability of this was about 4.4% or 1 in 23.
That result was, of course, good for Bookie Knows Best, which remains co-leader of the Head-to-Head Tipsters with ENS_Linear and now on 66 from 81 (81%). They are one tip ahead of MARS_Marg, and a further tip ahead of the RSMP twins.
The all-Tipster average score came in at 7.9 from 9, taking the season-long figure to 61.4 from 81 (76%).
Margin prediction performances were good again this week, with mean absolute errors (MAEs) ranging from Bookie_9’s best of 16.3 points per game to MoSHPlay_Marg’s worst of 22.2 points per game, it’s second bottom-of-the-pile performance in two weeks.
ENS_Linear still heads the Leaderboard. now by just over 8 points from Bookie_9, who is a further 11 points ahead of Bookie_Hcap. MoSHPlay_Marg has slumped to second-last, almost 10 goals behind the leader.
The all-Predictor average for the round was was 19.1 points per game, which took the season-long figure to 25.7 points per game.
Log probability scores were all extremely positive this week, and highest for the bookie-based forecasters and MoSHPlay_Prob. Based on this, MoSHPlay_Prob retained top spot on the Leaderboard ahead of Bookie_LPSO, with Bookie_RE taking third ahead of MoSHBODS_Prob. MARS_Prob remains in last place.
WAGERING
A solid second half of the round from the Line Fund was enough to produce a small profit for the Combined Portfolio this week.
In the end, the Combined Portfolio rose by 0.4c - the most for a single round this season - to now be up by just over 13c on a +16% ROI and a 0.81 turn.
