2026 - Round 17 Results - Could Be Worse, Could Be Better

Just five of the nine early-week favourites secured the four points this round, which led to every Head-to-Head Tipster recording five from nine except Home Sweet Home, who managed only two.

That left Bookie Knows Best and ENS_Linear still tied for first and now on 107.5 from 144 (75%) with MARS_Marg still in outright 3rd and back on 104.5.

The all-Tipster average score came in at 4.8 from 9, taking the season-long figure to 100.7 from 144 (70%).

Margin prediction was, on average, a little harder again this week, with mean absolute errors (MAEs) ranging from MoSHPlay_Marg’s best of 25.8 points per game to MoSHBODS_Marg’s worst of 28.1 points per game.

Bookie_9 still heads the Leaderboard, now by just under five goals from Bookie_LPSO, with Bookie_Hcap another 4 points further back. MoSHPlay_Marg, despite its solid round, remains in last place, still just over 32 goals behind the leader.

The all-Predictor average for the round was 26.6 points per game, which took the season-long figure to 25.6 points per game.

Log probability scores were all marginally positive and very similar this week, with the best from MoSHPlay_Prob and the worst from MoSHBODS_Prob. Bookie_LPSO still holds top spot on the Leaderboard, with Bookie_RE now in second, and MoSHBODS_Prob bumped back into third. MARS_Prob remains in last place.

WAGERING

Hawthorn’s loss made profit an impossibility this week, but a last-minute goal to Port Adelaide limited the damage to under 3c.

In fact, the Combined Portfolio fell by 2.9c to now be up by just under 11c on a +9% ROI and a 1.17 turn.