MoSHBODS’ average total this week is - as nature intended - lower than the bookmakers’ by about half a goal.

There’s agreement this week only about the likely highest scoring team:

Highest Scoring Game

MoSHBODS: St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Bookmakers: GWS v Carlton

Lowest Scoring Game

All: Collingwood v Port Adelaide

Highest Scoring Team

MoSHBODS: North Melbourne
Bookmakers: GWS

Lowest Scoring Team

All: Port Adelaide

WAGERS

MoSHBODS fancied five wagers this week … and got all but one of them past the veto committee

The four surviving wagers comprise three unders totalling just over 4% of the Overs/Unders Original Fund, and one overs for 0.7% of that same Fund.

The estimated overlays for the wagers range from about 3.5 to 6 points.

PREVIOUS WEEK

Last week saw Sportsbet take mean absolute error (MAE) honours for Home Team Scores, Away Team Scores and Game Totals, and MoSHBODS do the same for Game Margins. That left the TAB still with outright season-long leadership on Home Team Scores, and Sportsbet still with season-long leadership on Away Team Scores and Game Totals. The TAB and Sportsbet are now tied on Game Margins.

The leads in each race are now as follows:

Game Margins: TAB and Sportsbet 9 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Home Team Scores: TAB 8 points ahead of Sportsbet and 14 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Away Team Scores: Sportsbet 9 points ahead of the TAB, and 84 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Game Totals: Sportsbet 7 points ahead of the TAB, and 211 points ahead of MoSHBODS

Wagering and Game-by-Game Performance

There were three bets last weekend, all with Sportsbet and comprising one unsuccessful unders wager, and one successful and one unsuccessful overs wager.

That left MoSHBODS at 13 and 11 against the TAB and moved it to 2 and 4 against Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSHBODS was on the right side of the TAB and Sportsbet in only 2 of the 7 games, taking it to 59 from 121 (49%) for the season against the TAB and 55 from 121 (45%) against Sportsbet.

The round-by-round performance is shown in the following table.