There’s only one game this week, and the MoS twins have very different views about its scoring potential compared to the bookmakers.

WAGERS

With such a large difference, and it being of the unders kind, MoSSBODS has leapt at the opportunity for a sizeable wager.

One game, an estimated 11-point overlay, and a near 5% bet.

That is how MoSHBODS has decided to end the home and away season of Overs/Unders wagering.

PREVIOUS WEEK

Last week saw MoSSBODS take mean absolute error (MAE) honours for Game Margins and Away Team Scores, MoSHBODS do the same for Game Totals, and the TAB do the same for Home Team Scores.

That left the TAB with the season-long lead for all four metrics.

Those leads are now as follows:

Game Margins: the TAB 9 points ahead of Sportsbet, 148 points ahead of MoSHBODS, and 299 points ahead of MoSSBODS
Home Team Scores: TAB 25 points ahead of Sportsbet, 27 points ahead of MoSHBODS, and 137 points ahead of MoSSBODS
Away Team Scores: the TAB 41 points ahead of Sportsbet, 90 points ahead of MoSHBODS, and 147 points ahead of MoSSBODS
Game Totals: TAB 12 points ahead of MoSHBODS, 23 points ahead of Sportsbet, and 72 points ahead of MoSSBODS

Across the season, the overall results by metric have been:

Game Margins: Sportsbet 9 round wins (including 2 ties), TAB 9 round wins (including 2 ties), MoSSBODS 7 round wins, MoSHBODS 3 round wins
Home Team Scores: MoSHBODS 9 round wins, TAB 6 round wins (including 2 ties), MoSSBODS 5 round wins, Sportsbet 5 round wins (including 2 ties)
Away Team Scores: TAB 11.5 round wins (including 1 tie), MoSSBODS 7 round wins, MoSHBODS 5 round wins, Sportsbet 1.5 round wins (including 1 tie)
Game Totals: TAB 9 round wins (including 4 ties), MoSHBODS 9 round wins, MoSSBODS 5 round wins, Sportsbet 2 round wins (including/comprising 4 ties)

Wagering and Game-by-Game Performance

There were two bets last weekend, one successful and one unsuccessful unders wagers with the TAB, which left MoSSBODS with an 18 and 18 season-long record against the TAB, and a 7 and 6 season-long record against Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS were on the right side of the TAB in 6 games last week, and on the right side of Sportsbet in 5 games.

That takes MoSSBODS to 104 from 206 (51%) against the TAB and Sportsbet, and MoSHBODS to 118 from 206 (57%) against the TAB and 117 from 206 (57%) against Sportsbet.

The round-by-round performance is shown in the following table.