2018 - Team Ratings After Round 9

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Richmond's loss to West Coast cost them about 2 Scoring Shots of their lead on MoSSBODS, and 8 points of their lead on MoSHBODS this weekend, but left them still comfortably ranked number 1 on both Systems.

Melbourne's 109 point and 19 Scoring Shot victory over Carlton saw them rocket up both lists, pushing them to 3rd on MoSSBODS and 4th on MoSHBODS. The only other team to move up at least two spots on both Systems was Essendon, who moved to 13th on MoSSBODS and 12th on MoSHBODS.

GWS was the lone team falling multiple places on both Systems, down 3 spots on MoSSBODS to 6th, and down 2 spots on MoSHBODS to 8th.

That sees both Systems still with a Top 2 of Richmond and West Coast, but with Melbourne filling third on MoSSBODS, and Sydney doing the same on MoSHBODS (after Geelong, the previous occupants, plummeted 6 places into 9th after surrendering 5 Rating Points to Essendon).

It also sees only one team now ranked three places or more differently by the two Systems: Adelaide, ranked 10th on MoSSBODS and 6th on MoSHBODS.

Ratings compression is most notable now on MoSSBODS between West Coast in 2nd and Adelaide in 10th, who are separated by just 4 Scoring Shots, and on MoSHBODS between the West Coast in 2nd and North Melbourne in 10th, who are separated by just 13.8 points.

Looking next at the component ratings, we see that Richmond remain ranked number one on offence and defence by both Systems, whilst Melbourne has retained 2nd and West Coast 3rd on offence on MoSSBODS. MoSHBODS now has West Coast in 2nd on offence and Melbourne in 3rd, both climbing one spot after Adelaide fell two places into 4th.

Defensively, Port Adelaide is in 2nd and Sydney in 3rd on both MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS.

Looking across all 18 teams we find that:

  • GWS is ranked 4th by MoSSBODS on Offence and 8th by MoSHBODS
  • Adelaide is ranked 12th by MoSSBODS on Defence and 9th by MoSHBODS

No other team is ranked more than two places differently by the two Systems on either rating component. 

In the latest version of the animated GIF, which appears below, we see the Tigers drifting a little back towards the pursuing pack led by West Coast and Melbourne.

MoSSBODS Ratings At End of Rounds 1 to 9 - Smooth.gif

In the context of history, Richmond's rating remains elite, while West Coast's is now roughly mid-pack in relation to previous Flag winners at this point in their seasons.

As things stand now:

  • six teams have a positive offensive and a positive defensive rating
  • five have a negative offensive and a positive defensive rating
  • none have a positive offensive and a negative defensive rating
  • seven have a negative offensive and a negative defensive rating

MARS this week has doubled-down on the Crows, installing them in first ahead of the Tigers, while ChiPS has maintained its faith in the Tigers despite their loss. MARS has the Tigers in second and the Eagles in third. ChiPS has the Eagles in second and the Swans in third.

Both Systems, like the MoS twins, substantially elevated the ranking of the Dees who were up five places to fourth on ChiPS and three places to 6th on MARS.

The two Systems now differ by more than two places in their rankings of only two teams:

  • Adelaide (ranked 11th on ChiPS and 1st on MARS)
  • Western Bulldogs (ranked 16th on ChiPS and 13th on MARS)

That difference in Adelaide's ranking is truly remarkable.

Looking across the team rankings of all four Systems and comparing them with the current competition ladder, we find that:

  • Adelaide's, GWS's and Collingwood's ladder positions are most different from their average Rating System ranking. Collingwood and GWS are ranked somewhat higher by the Rating Systems than their ladder positions, while Adelaide is ranked higher than its ladder position by MARS, but lower than its ladder position by the three other Rating Systems.
  • Adelaide (1st to 11th) is ranked ten places differently across the Rating Systems.
  • Geelong (5th to 9th) is ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems.
  • Collingwood (5th to 9th) is also ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems.
  • No other team is ranked more than three places differently across the Rating Systems.