2018 - Round 9 Results - Regression to the MAE

ENS_Linear pulled the correct rein in seven of the contest this week and now has the outright lead on the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard by one tip over Bookie Knows Best.

The majority of the remaining Tipsters scored five, which left the all-Predictor average at 5.6 for the round.

Bookie_3 led all-comers amongst the Margin Predictors, though even it could only manage a 36.3 points per game mean absolute error (MAE), after Sunday's large victory margins surprised everyone. That result for Bookie_3 was enough to jump it three places into third on the Leaderboard, behind Bookie_Hcap and Bookie_LPSO, both of which climbed a couple of places to assume their new positions.

MoSHBODS_Marg was unable to repeat its sterling performance from Round 8, and now finds itself about 19 goals off the lead and about one goal clear of MoSSBODS_Marg.

For the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors it was another weekend of positive probability scoring, slightly higher than last week, but for the most part slightly lower than for Rounds 6 and 7. Bookie_LPSO did best - but only a little better than MoSHBODS_Prob - and now holds the outright lead having relegated Bookie_RE into second place.

WAGERS

The Head-to-Head Fund's two collects on Essendon and Brisbane Lions, while enough to return a profit for that Fund alone, wasn't enough to offset the 0 from 4 performance of the Overs/ Unders Fund, and the 0 from 2 performance of the Line Fund.

Combined, the three Funds lost 2.7% of the original Combined Portfolio Fund, leaving it down by 2.4c on the season, the result of a -3.1% ROI on about a 0.76 turn.