2017 - Round 16 Results - Climbing On a Ladder

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This week, it turns out, one of the best ways of tipping winners would've been to glance at the pre-round competition ladder, as seven of the eight winners started the round ahead of the teams they eventually defeated.

With the draw in the Hawks v Giants game that gave everyone a half tip, that 7.5 from 9 rocketed Consult The Ladder into a share of 1st place with the two RSMP Tipsters. The three of them are now on 81 from 137 (60%). MoSSBODS_Marg sits one tip further back on 80 from 137 (59%).

Amongst the Margin Predictors it was yet another good week for the RSMP Predictors too, who now find themselves in the top 2 spots having displaced MoSHBODS_Marg, their mean absolute errors (MAEs) for the week the 2nd- and 3rd-best, behind only Bookie_3's.

There is still though, as game show hosts are fond of saying, "all to play for", since MoSHBODS_Marg trails RSMP_Weighted by only 14 points despite recording the round's worst MAE of 36.2 points per game.

The all-Predictor average MAE for the round was 33.6 points per game, which leaves the season-long average at a tantalisingly near-perfect 29.999 points per game.

For the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors it was, at least, a round of positive probability scores, highest for Bookie_OE and Bookie_RE, though not all that much worse for the lowest-scoring C_Prob. In the end, we have Bookie_OE atop the Leaderboard, ahead of Bookie_RE, who nudged MoSHBODS_Prob back into 3rd this week.

WAGERS

The Roos' seemingly preternatural ability to transform winning positions into losing ones cost Investors dearly this week, and meant that the Overall Portfolio recorded its third successive loss, albeit again by less a full percentage point. If you're going to lose, doing it with a zero on the front-end of the result is a mantra I'd be happy to sign up to.

Still, three losses on the trot, each of them larger than the last, is a trend that clearly needs reversing.

Altogether, the week's losses amounted to 0.9% of the original Overall Portfolio, which leaves that portfolio up by 23% on the season (a 15.5% ROI on a 1.49 turn).