2013 : Round 14 - Results

For only the third time this season, Investors have recorded back-to-back profits across consecutive rounds. The earlier instances were in Rounds 2 and 3, then Rounds 3 and 4, and the profits there were much less significant.

This week the Recommended Portfolio added to its 7c gain from last week by jumping another 6c, thanks to an 8c gain by the Line Fund on the back of a 4 from 6 record, and a 6c gain by the Head-to-Head Fund, courtesy of another Port Adelaide upset. These gains were more than enough to offset the Margin Fund's 5c loss and mean that the Recommended Portfolio is now down by only a little over 4c on the whole season.

Profitability is now just a couple of good results away.

TIPSTERS AND PREDICTORS

Three favourites lost this week - the Eagles, the Pies and the Dogs - though most of the leading Head-to-Head Tipsters managed to foresee one of those upsets, which meant that most bagged 7 from 9 for the week and so did nothing to reduce the congestion at the top of the ladder. Combo_NN2 still leads by 2 tips from a pursuing pack of 6 other Tipsters.

Meanwhile the Margin Predictor ladder still sees RSMP_Weighted in 1st and RSMP_Simple in 2nd, with three of the next four positions now occupied by directly TAB Bookmaker-related Predictors. The two RSMP Predictors extended their lead over the remainder of the field this weekend by recording the top two performances of the round. Both scored mean absolute prediction errors of under 20 points per game and continue to predict line betting outcomes with an accuracy of 58% or higher.

Amongst the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors, Bookie_LPSO and the H2H Predictors recorded the week's best results, which was sufficient in Bookie_LPSO's case to catapult it to the top of the ladder.

The Line Fund algorithm recorded its first positive probability score since Round 10, a performance exploited by Investors via the Line Fund's 4 from 6 performance.

SUPERMARGIN WAGERING

None of the Margin Predictors had outstanding performances on SuperMargin wagering this week, though four Predictors - RSMP_Simple, ProPred_7, Win_3, and Win_7 - all selected the correct bucket in 2 of the 9 games.

ProPred_7 has been bucket-perfect in 20 games so far this season, second only to ProPred_3, which has achieved this feat on 21 occasions. That's a better than 1-in-6 performance for both of them.