MatterOfStats 2026 : Team Dashboard for Round 23
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which suggests that the Saints and Giants are unlucky to not be in the Top 10, and that the Dogs and Blues are perhaps lucky to be there.
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
MoS Win Production Function: +0.97
Percentage of Quarters Won: +0.94
Own Goals per Game: +0.90
Own Points per Game: +0.90
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.88
Q2 Performances: +0.84
Q4 Performances: +0.80
Opponent Goals per Game: +0.78
Q3 Performances: +0.77
Opponent Points per Game: +0.76
Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.73
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.72
Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.32
Next, here’s the latest top half of the Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Only three teams have a winning streak of three games or more
Only three teams have a losing streak of three games or more
Brisbane Lions have generated 28.9 scoring shots per game and Richmond 19
Fremantle have conceded just 20.3 scoring shots per game and Essendon 29.2
According to the MoS Win Production Function
Western Bulldogs have won 2.7 games more than expected based on their scoring statistics
Melbourne have won 1.6 games more than expected
St Kilda have won 1.9 games fewer than expected
Port Adelaide have won 1.8 games fewer than expected
Next, here’s the bottom half, with quarter-by-quarter statistics that reveal:
St Kilda have won 82% of Q1s, but only 39% of Q3s
Geelong have won 82% of Q4s, but only 41% of Q3s
Fremantle have won 84% of Q3s, but only 50% of Q2s
Essendon have won 45% of Q4s, but only 14% of Q1s
Adelaide, Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Fremantle, Hawthorn, Melbourne, and Sydney remain the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters
Essendon, Port Adelaide, Richmond and West Coast remain the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
Essendon have scored 34% of their points in Q4s.
St Kilda have conceded only 18% of their points in Q1s.
Essendon have converted at only 42% in Q1s
Gold Coast has converted at 61% in Q1s, but only 43% in Q4s
Brisbane Lions has converted at 62% in Q3s, but only 46% in Q2s
Adelaide has converted at 61% in Q1s
Sydney has converted at 62% in Q1s
Richmond has converted at 36% in Q3s
Port Adelaide’s opponents have converted at 64% in Q1s
Melbourne’s opponents have converted at 61% in Q1s and 60% in Q2s
Sydney’s opponents have converted at 42% in Q2s.
