MatterOfStats 2026 : Team Dashboard for Round 17
/Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which now suggests that both Port Adelaide and St Kilda are unlucky to not be in the Top 10, and that the Dogs and Blues are perhaps lucky to be there.
The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:
MoS Win Production Function: +0.86
Own Goals per Game: +0.82
Own Points per Game: +0.80
Percentage of Quarters Won: +0.75
Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.74
Q2 Performances: +0.72
Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.23
Next, here’s the latest top half of the Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:
Only three teams have a winning streak of three games or more
Only four teams have a losing streak of three games or more
Sydney have converted at a rate over 8% points higher than their opponents
West Coast have converted at a rate just under 8% points lower than their opponents
Sydney have generated just under 29 scoring shots per game and Richmond 19
Fremantle have conceded just over 20 scoring shots per game and Richmond just over 29
According to the MoS Win Production Function
Western Bulldogs have won 2.5 games more than expected based on their scoring statistics
North Melbourne have won 1.5 games more than expected
Port Adelaide have won 2.2 games fewer than expected
Essendon have won 1.9 games fewer than expected
St Kilda have won 1.8 games fewer than expected
Geelong have won 1.6 games fewer than expected
Ten teams have won between 30 and 33 quarters this season, Fremantle has won 41, Sydney 40, and Brisbane Lions, Geelong, and Melbourne 37.
Next, here’s the bottom half, with quarter-by-quarter statistics, that shows:
St Kilda have won 88% of Q1s, but only around 40% of Q2s and Q3s
Essendon have won 56% of Q4s, but only 13% of Q1s, and 22% of Q2s
GWS have won 75% of Q3s, but only around 40 to 50% of Q1s, Q2s, and Q4s
Brisbane Lions join Adelaide, Fremantle and Sydney as the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters
Richmond and West Coast remain the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters
West Coast have scored 32% of their points in Q3s, but only 18% in Q1s. They’ve converted at only 39% in Q1s
Essendon have scored 34% of their points in Q4s.
St Kilda have conceded only 17% of their points in Q1s where their opponents have converted at only 48%
Gold Coast has converted at 67% in Q1s, but only 42% in Q4s
Adelaide has converted at 63% in Q1s, 62% in Q2s, but only 46% in Q4s
Brisbane Lions and Carlton are both noteworthy for the difference between their opponents’ conversion rates in Q3 and Q4 compared to Q1 and Q2
Hawthorn’s opponents have converted at 62% on Q1s and 62% in Q3s.
