MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 15

Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which cpntinues to show that the teams currently in the Top 8 deserve to be there based on the metrics shown here (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage).

As well, outside the eight, Western Bulldogs continue to have metrics that would also justify a spot for them in the Top 8. The Win Production Function now has them in 2nd.

The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Goals per Game: +0.93

  • Percent of Quarters Won: +0.91

  • Opponent Points per Game: +0.91

  • MoS Win Production Function: +0.87

  • Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.84

  • Own Points per Game: +0.8

  • Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.79

  • Own Goals per Game: +0.79

  • Q1 Performances: +0.78

  • Q4 Performances: +0.7

Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.28

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.32

  • Q2 Performances: +0.49

At this point in the season, ladder position is a lot about how well teams have defended

Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:

  • Adelaide have won 93% of Q2s but only 50% of Q3s.

  • Adelaide, Collingwood, Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters

  • Richmond and West Coast remain the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters

  • Carlton (Q1), Collingwood (Q3), Essendon (Q2), Fremantle (Q3), Geelong (Q4), GWS (Q4), North Melbourne (Q2), and Melbourne (Q3) all have particularly strong records in the quarters noted relative to their performances in the three other quarters.

  • Brisbane Lions, Collingwood, Gold Coast and Western Bulldogs remain the only teams to have generated, on average, more scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Essendon, North Melbourne, Richmond, St Kilda, and West Coast remain the only teams to have generated, on average, fewer scoring shots than their opponents in every quarter.

  • Team Conversion rates by quarter remain highly variable for a number of teams. For example, the Lions have converted at 61% in Q3s but only 46% in Q4s.

  • Other teams with a large range of conversion rates are:

    • Essendon: 63% Q2 and 47% Q1

    • North Melbourne: 63% Q2 and 47% Q1

    • Melbourne: 57% Q3 and 39% Q4

    • St Kilda: 65% Q1 and 47% Q2

  • A number of teams also have a large range of opponent conversion rates across quarters:

    • Adelaide: 54% Q3 and 38% Q4

    • Fremantle: 61% Q1 and 42% Q3

    • Geelong: 61% Q3 and 44% Q4

    • Gold Coast: 63% Q3 and 48% Q1

    • Melbourne: 65% Q4 and 50% Q1

    • St Kilda: 60% Q2 and 46% Q4