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Simulations

Matter of Stats
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July 09, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 16

July 09, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

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July 09, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
July 02, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Finals Series After Round 15

July 02, 2018/ Tony Corke

Time for another look at how this year's finals might play out.

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July 02, 2018/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
July 02, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 15

July 02, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

Read More
July 02, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
June 25, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Finals Series After Round 14

June 25, 2018/ Tony Corke

So far this season the simulations have ended at the conclusion of the home and away season. Today we'll extend the simulations to include the entirety of the Finals series.

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June 25, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
June 25, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 14

June 25, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

Read More
June 25, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
June 18, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 13

June 18, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

Read More
June 18, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
June 12, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 12

June 12, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

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June 12, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
June 04, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 11

June 04, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

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June 04, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 28, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 10

May 28, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

Read More
May 28, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 21, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 9

May 21, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations (and quite a bit more this week) appear below.

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May 21, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 14, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 8

May 14, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations (and quite a bit more this week) appear below.

Read More
May 14, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
May 07, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 7

May 07, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

Read More
May 07, 2018/ Tony Corke/ 4 Comments
April 30, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 6

April 30, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

Read More
April 30, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 26, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 5

April 26, 2018/ Tony Corke

Updated final home and away ladder simulations appear below.

Read More
April 26, 2018/ Tony Corke/ Comment
April 18, 2018

2018 : Simulating the Final Ladder After Round 4

April 18, 2018/ Tony Corke

Time to dust off the code that simulates the remainder of the home and away season to see, at this very early stage, how it assesses the teams are faring.

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April 18, 2018/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
September 17, 2017

2017 : Simulating the Final Series After Week 2 of the Finals

September 17, 2017/ Tony Corke

The Cats' and Giants' victories on the weekend mean that 30 of the last 36 Preliminary Finalists will have been teams that have had the double-chance, and also that we'll have 1st v 2nd in one of the Prelims, and 3rd v 4th in the other.

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September 17, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
September 10, 2017

2017 : Simulating the Final Series After Week 1 of the Finals

September 10, 2017/ Tony Corke

And then there were six ...

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September 10, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 28, 2017

2017 : Simulating the Final Series After Round 23

August 28, 2017/ Tony Corke

With the end of the home and away season we now confine ourselves to simulating only the remaining 9 games that make up the Finals series by applying the methodology as described in this blog.

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August 28, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 21, 2017

2017 : Simulating the Final Ladder and Final Series After Round 22

August 21, 2017/ Tony Corke

In this week's 50,000 simulations of the remaining round of the 2017 AFL season, four teams saw material changes in their Top 8 chances, and four more saw their Top 4 chances change by more than 5% points.

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August 21, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
August 14, 2017

2017 : Simulating the Final Ladder and Final Series After Round 21

August 14, 2017/ Tony Corke

Nine teams saw material changes to their Top 4 and/or Top 8 chances this week as the likely final ladder became just a little clearer, at least in parts.

Read More
August 14, 2017/ Tony Corke/ Comment
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    • MoSHBODS Team Ratings and Winning
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    • Score Progressions
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Matter of Stats

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