The only teams capable of winning the Flag this year are now the six teams that filled the top half-dozen places on the competition ladder at the end of the home-and-away season.

FORECASTS FOR THE FINALS

We now have:

Flag favouritism is currently, in order (with rough fair prices shown in brackets):

Hawthorn ($2.80)
Sydney ($3.75)
Brisbane Lions ($8.50)
Geelong ($10)
Fremantle ($11)
Adelaide ($30)

FINALS DETAILS

Next let’s take a look at what the simulations are suggesting about the details of the Finals series - that is, who loses to whom in what week and how often?