AFLW 2023 - Round 10

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WoSHBODS’ is tipping only one upset again this week, this time the Dockers over the Swans.

It expects:

  • Adelaide (74) to be the highest scoring team

  • West Coast (7) to be the lowest scoring team

  • Brisbane v Melbourne (105) to be the highest scoring game

  • Collingwood v Richmond (66) to be the lowest scoring game

It also expects 4 home teams to win, and 6.6 favourites.

WAGERING

WoSHBODS wagering comprises four head-to-head and four line bets this week. Altogether, the head-to-head bets total just under 10% of the orignal Head-to-Head Fund, and the line bets total just over 5% of the original Line Fund. Overall, just over 6% of the original Combined Portfolio is at risk.

(The line wager on Melbourne, by the way, is actually sized 0.04% of the Fund)

You can see the various impacts on the Combined Portfolio across all possible game outcomes in the Ready Reckoner below.

Clearly, the Adelaide wager will have a large say in profitability this week.

This week’s wagering breaks down as:

Head-to-Head (as % of Head-to-Head Fund)

  • Home Favourites: 2.7%

  • Home Dogs: 2.7%

  • Away Favourites: 4.2%

  • Away Dogs: 0%

Line (as % of Line Fund)

  • Home Favourites: 0.7%

  • Home Dogs: 0.4%

  • Away Favourites: 4%

  • Away Dogs: 0%