WoSHBODS tipped 7 from 9 winners this week, and the bookmakers 7 also, which took WoSHBODS’ season-long record to 58 from 81 (72%).

WoSHBODS also recorded a Margin MAE of 22.4 points per game (compared to 19.8 and 20 for the bookmakers) and a Totals MAE of 13.9 points per game (compared to 14.6 and 14.7 for the bookmakers).

The LPS of +3.3 bits compares to +2.8 and +3 bits for the two bookmakers.

Another very acceptable round.

The cumulative season-long results appear below.

Overall, we’re now at 72% accuracy for the season, 24.0 Game Margin MAE, and 16.3 Totals MAE, and +14.7 LPS.

WAGERS

This week there were profits for all three Funds, despite a disappointing Sunday.

Altogether, the Combined Portfolio rose by 3.2c to finish up by 3c on the season on a +2.7% ROI and a 1.1 turn. Profit at last …

TEAM DASHBOARD

The Team Dashboard metric rankings appear below and reveal that the metric rankings most associated with ladder position are:

WoS Win Production Function: +0.92
Percentage of Quarters Won: +0.91
Points Conceded: +0.85
Goals Conceded: +0.84
Q3 Performances: +0.83
Scoring Shots Conceded: +0.82
Points Scored: +0.80
Goals Scored: +0.77
Scoring Shots Generated: +0.74
Q1 Performances: +0.70
Q2 Performances: +0.70

The metrics least associated with ladder position are:

Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.18
Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.34

The full Team Dashboard appears below, and reveals that, among other things:

North Melbourne are yet to lose a Q2.
North Melbourne have outscored their opponents by roughly 2:1 or more in every quarter, and almost 8:1 in Q2s
North Melbourne, Melbourne, Brisbane and Sydney are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in every quarter
The only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in every quarter are still Collingwood, Essendon, Fremantle, Gold Coast, GWS, and Richmond.
Brisbane, North Melbourne and Melbourne are now the only teams to have generated more scoring shots than their opponents in each of the four quarters
Conversely, Essendon, Gold Coast, GWS, and Richmond are the only teams to have generated fewer scoring than their opponents in each of the four quarters
Fremantle have converted at 86% in Q1s, but have also allowed their opponents to convert at 76% in the same quarter
Fremantle have scored only 13% of their points in Q3s.
Western Bulldogs have conceded only 11% of all they’ve conceded in Q1s, and North Melbourne only 11% in Q2s.
West Coast have scored 41% of their total score in Q4s.
North Melbourne have registered more behinds than 14 teams have registered goals.