2026 - Team Ratings After Round 27 (Week 3 of the Finals)
/MoSHBODS changed the ranking of only two teams this week, dropping Adelaide into 8th below Carlton.
MARS reranked no teams at all and, very surprisingly, increased the Cats’ rating and decreased the Dockers’ despite the Cats’ 14-point loss. MARS sometimes moves in mysterious ways.
That left MoSHBODS with a Top 3 of Sydney, Geelong, and Fremantle, and MARS with Geelong, Sydney, and Hawthorn.
MoSHBODS RATINGS
Overall, MoSHBODS has 10 teams rated as above average with the Saints and Suns falling just below the cutoff.
On the Component Ratings, on offence we find MoSHBODS now with a Top 3 of Lions, Swans, and Cats, while on defence it still has a Top 3 of Dockers, Hawks, and Blues. Thirteen teams are rated as above average on offence but only six (sic!) on defence.
Offensive ratings currently span a range of 1.68 standard deviations (up) and defensive ratings a range of 1.09 standard deviations (down). The standard deviation of offensive ratings across all teams is 0.48 and that for defensive ratings 0.31.
The correlation between the teams’ MoSHBODS offensive and defensive Ratings now stands at +0.689, which is down on last week.
We can also look at the trajectory that each team has taken so far in 2026 to arrive at their current rating.
MARS RATINGS
MARS has only 10 teams rated better-than-average, with Collingwood missing out by just over 2 Rating Points.
As noted earlier, it has a different Top 3 to MoSHBODS, albeit that the four highest-rated teams are separated by about 6 Rating Points.
The gap from 1st to 2nd is now 3 Rating Points (up), from 1st to 4th, 6.2 Rating Points (up), and from 1st to 10th is 38.2 Rating Points (up).
Across all 18 teams, the Ratings span 91.4 Rating Points (up), the mean is 1,000 Rating Points, and the standard deviation is 29.9 Rating Points (up).
COMPARISON OF MOSHBODS AND MARS
The correlation between MoSHBODS’ Combined Ratings and MARS’ Ratings stands at +0.986 and, roughly speaking, each team’s Combined MoSHBODS Rating is about 0.024 times its MARS Rating less 24.
MoSHBODS and MARS agree about the ranking of six teams now, but differ by as much as two spots about only five teams, including a three spot difference for GWS.
Overall, the rank correlation between the two Systems is +0.967.
