The bookmakers are expecting considerably lower scores in the two Wildcard Finals than is MoSHBODS, with the difference about 3 points in the Friday game and 13 points in the Saturday game.

WAGERS

MoSHBODS fancied and has overs wagers on both games this week.

The estimated overlays for the wagers range from 3 to 13 points.

PREVIOUS WEEK

Last week saw MoSHBODS take mean absolute error (MAE) honours for Away Team Scores, the TAB do the same for Game Margins and Game Totals, and Sportsbet do the same for Home Team Scores. Those results left the season-long metric leaders unchanged.

The leads in each race are now as follows:

Game Margins: TAB 4 points ahead of Sportsbet and 29 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Home Team Scores: TAB 12 points ahead of Sportsbet and 39 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Away Team Scores: Sportsbet 9 points ahead of the TAB, and 107 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Game Totals: TAB 6 points ahead of Sportsbet, and 292 points ahead of MoSHBODS

Wagering and Game-by-Game Performance

There were three bets last weekend, a winning overs bets with the TAB, a winning unders bet with Sportsbet, and a losing unders bet with the TAB.

That left MoSHBODS at 24 and 20 against the TAB and 13 and 10 against Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSHBODS was on the right side of the TAB in only 3 of the 9 games, taking it to 97 from 207 (47%) for the season, and on the right side of Sportsbet also in only 3 of the 9 games taking it to 94 from 207 (45%) for the season.

The round-by-round performance is shown in the following table.