2026 - Round 26 (Week 2 of the Finals): Overs/Unders

The bookmakers are expecting considerably lower scores in the four finals this week than is MoSHBODS, especially in the Swans v Lions game where the difference is almost 8 goals..

WAGERS

MoSHBODS fancied overs in all four games this week, but was vetoed by the rain rule in three, and the TGTBT rule in one.

PREVIOUS WEEK

Last week saw Sportsbet take mean absolute error (MAE) honours for Game Margins and Home Team Scores, the TAB do the same for Away Team Scores, with the TAB and Sportsbet tying on Game Totals. Those results left the season-long metric leaders unchanged.

The leads in each race are now as follows:

  • Game Margins: TAB 2 points ahead of Sportsbet and 38 points ahead of MoSHBODS

  • Home Team Scores: TAB 11 points ahead of Sportsbet and 49 points ahead of MoSHBODS

  • Away Team Scores: Sportsbet 8 points ahead of the TAB, and 106 points ahead of MoSHBODS

  • Game Totals: TAB 6 points ahead of Sportsbet, and 302 points ahead of MoSHBODS

Wagering and Game-by-Game Performance

There were two bets last weekend, both overs bets with the TAB, one winning and one losing.

That left MoSHBODS at 25 and 21 against the TAB and 13 and 10 against Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSHBODS was on the right side of the TAB and Sportsbet in only 1 of the 2 games, taking the TAB to 98 from 209 (47%) for the season, and Sportsbet to 95 from 209 (45%) for the season.

The round-by-round performance is shown in the following table.