MatterOfStats 2025 : Team Dashboard for Round 7

Below is the latest Ranking on Dashboard Metrics table, which continues to show that the teams currently in the Top 8 deserve to be there based on the metrics shown here (note that I order teams based firstly on the percentage of available competition points they have accrued and then on percentage). Only Fremantle (and maybe Carlton) also have a set of metrics deserving of a spot in the eight.

The metrics currently most rank correlated with ladder position are:

• Percent of Quarters Won: +0.87

• Own Scoring Shots per Game: +0.87

• MoS Win Production Function: +0.87

• Own Points per Game: +0.83

• Opponent Goals per Game: +0.82

• Opponent Points per Game: +0.81

• Opponent Scoring Shots per Game: +0.79

• Q3 Performances: +0.78

• Own Goals per Game: +0.77

• Q4 Performances: +0.7

Those least rank correlated with ladder position are:

• Own Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.21

• Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.3

• Q2 Performances: +0.35

• Q1 Performances: +0.47

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Next, here’s the latest Team Dashboard, which shows, among other things, that:

• North Melbourne have yet to win a Q1

• Melbourne, Port Adelaide, and West Coast have yet to win a Q4. West Coast is also yet to win a Q3.

• Adelaide, Collingwood and Gold Coast are the only teams to have outscored their opponents in all four quarters

• Richmond and West Coast are the only teams to have been outscored by their opponents in all four quarters

• Very few teams have similar percentages across all four quarters

• Brisbane Lions (Q3), Carlton (Q1), Collingwood (Q3), Essendon (Q4), Fremantle (Q3), Geelong (Q4), Gold Coast (Q4), North Melbourne (Q2), Melbourne (Q3) all have particularly strong records in the quarters noted relative to their performances in the three other quarters.

• Team Conversion rates by quarter are also highly variable for many teams. For example, the Lions have converted at 67% in Q3s but only 40% in Q1s.

• Other teams with a large range of conversion rates are:

  • Essendon: 63% Q2 and 38% Q1

  • Fremantle: 61% Q1 and 36% Q4

  • Geelong: 67% Q2 and Q4, and 45% Q1

  • Gold Coast: 60% Q4 and 41% Q2

  • Hawthorn: 64% Q4 and 42% Q1

  • North Melbourne: 72% Q4 and 39% Q1

  • Melbourne: 63% Q3 and 25% Q4

  • St Kilda: 69% Q1 and 41% Q2

  • West Coast: 68% Q1 and 38% Q2

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