MatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 16

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The latest Team Dashboard is lurking, as is its wont, below, and this week we'll be looking once again at the MoS Win Production Function and the difference between teams' actual win percentages and the percentages their scoring statistics suggest might be expected.

We find that:

  • Fremantle have won 2.3 games more than might be expected
  • Hawthorn have won 1.6 games more than might be expected
  • GWS and St Kilda have won 1.0 games more than might be expected
  • Gold Coast have won 0.9 games more than might be expected
  • Richmond and the Western Bulldogs have won 0.8 games more than might be expected
  • Port Adelaide have won 2.4 games fewer than might be expected
  • The Kangaroos have won 2.3 games fewer than might be expected
  • Collingwood have won 1.6 games fewer than might be expected
  • Essendon have won 1.3 games fewer than might be expected
  • Sydney have won 1.2 games fewer than might be expected
  • Adelaide have won 1.1 games fewer than might be expected

Based on those expectations, the teams ranked most differently on the competition ladder relative to what their scoring statistics imply are:

  • Fremantle: 5 places higher than would be expected
  • Hawthorn: 3 places higher than would be expected
  • GWS, Richmond, St Kilda and the Western Bulldogs: 2 places higher than would be expected
  • Kangaroos: 5 places lower than would be expected
  • Collingwood: 4 places lower than would be expected
  • Essendon and Sydney: 3 places lower than would be expected
  • Port Adelaide: 2 places lower than would be expected