MatterOfStats 2015 : Team Dashboard for Round 13

The regular Team Dashboard appears at the end of this blog but I want to present today a new table, based solely on teams' Scoring Shot production on a game-by-game basis. For this table, a team is credited with a victory if it creates more Scoring Shots than its opponents in a game, even if it converts those shots, relatively speaking, at such a rate that its official score is lower than its opponent's. Similarly, a team is credited with a draw if it produces the same number of Scoring Shots as its opponents, regardless of Conversion.

I've produced this table because, for reasons I hope reveal later in the season, I'm coming to the belief that the number of Scoring Shots produced by a team relative to its opponent is potentially a better measure of its relative performance than the number of points it scores relative to its opponents. This is because team Scoring Shot Conversion Rates appear to be, effectively, random.

The first and most obvious thing to note about this ladder is that Hawthorn emerges as the top-ranked team. In the four games it's lost this season it has produced more Scoring Shots than the team that defeated it in three of those games, and produced as many Scoring Shots as the team that defeated it in the fourth. On the Scoring Shot ladder then the Hawks are undefeated.

No other team is ranked much differently, however, in this table than they are on the competition ladder proper, though a few do, like Hawthorn, move by three places:

  • GWS rises from 10th to 7th
  • The Kangaroos rise from 12th to 9th
  • Essendon fall from 14th to 17th

From the Team Dashboard I'd note only that just four teams have outscored their opponents in every quarter, and these are the teams from positions 1 through 4 on the competition ladder: Fremantle, Hawthorn, Sydney and West Coast