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Statistical Analyses

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August 08, 2015

Leads and Lead Changes in AFL

August 08, 2015/ Tony Corke

In the previous blog here on Statistical Analysis I referred to this paper and applied its drift-free Random Walk model to the "safety" of leads recent AFL history, finding that, to some extent, it fitted empirical data well.

 

Read More
August 08, 2015/ Tony Corke/ Comment
Model/Analysis-Scoring, Model/Analysis-Margin, Theory - Scoring
leads, random walk, Scoring Events, history, Team-by-Team, winning rate
August 06, 2015

Are AFL Games Like Random Walks?

August 06, 2015/ Tony Corke

I came across an interesting journal article this week, published in March of 2015 on arXiv.org and entitled "Safe Leads and Lead Changes in Competitive Team Sports". 

Read More
August 06, 2015/ Tony Corke/ Comment
Theory - Scoring, Model/Analysis-Scoring, Model/Analysis-Other
random walk, leads, scoring, scoring model, history, momentum
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