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November 19, 2015

Unexpectedly Large Victories in NRL: Parallels With AFL

November 19, 2015/ Tony Corke

In the previous post we saw that large or what might be called "blowout" victories in AFL games occurred at a rate much higher than the rate at which bookmakers assigned equally large handicaps to those same games, and we saw why this might be the case from a theoretical perspective on the assumption that AFL game margins were Normally distributed.

Read More
November 19, 2015/ Tony Corke/ Comment
Model/Analysis-Scoring, Model/Analysis-Bookmaker
NRL, blowouts, Beta Regression, betareg, scoring, margin
February 16, 2014

Pythagorean Expectation for the VFL/AFL and the NRL

February 16, 2014/ Tony Corke

I've been refamiliarising myself with the idea of Pythagorean Expectation and its application to the historical home-and-away results for the VFL/AFL

Read More
February 16, 2014/ Tony Corke/ 2 Comments
Theory - Scoring, Model/Analysis-Winner
Pythagorean Expectation, VFL/AFL, NRL, nls, R-package, Other Sports, history
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